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Here's my update of the famous NYC mortality-since-1805 chart, assuming deaths for the rest of the year are about normal
In deaths per thousand the estimated mortality increase is the same (3.4) as in 1918. Measured in percentage terms, it's the biggest since the cholera epidemics of the 1830s
The 1918 flu hit the rest of the country harder than it did NYC, and with Covid-19 it's been the opposite, so the nationwide mortality increase likely won't be nearly as big as 1918's
And here's the CDC's estimates of age-adjusted mortality since 1900, which makes this year stand out a little more
Oh, and here's the column these are all from, which I meant to link to at the beginning of this thread https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2020-08-24/covid-19-death-rates-in-new-york-city-are-likely-to-top-1918-flu?sref=c4Ex4pvh
