Is it time for Timo?
An #FPL Managers Guide to Timo Werner

#FPLCommunity #FPLstats #FPLWatch #FPLstrategy #FPLdecisions #FPltips #FPLadvice #PL #PLstats #EPL #eplstats #TimoWerner #Chelsea #CFC #timefortimo

Stats & supporting material from Understat, WhoScored & SofaScore

1/9
More Bundesliga 19/20 stats...
Shots per game: 3.6
Shots ITB per game: 3.1 https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="👀" title="Augen" aria-label="Emoji: Augen">
Mins per goal: 100 https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="👀" title="Augen" aria-label="Emoji: Augen">
Key passes per game: 1.6

More UCL 19/20 stats...
Shots per game: 3.6
Shots ITB per game: 3.1 https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="👀" title="Augen" aria-label="Emoji: Augen">
Mins per goal: 145
Key passes per game: 1.4

3/9
More Bundesliga 19/20 stats...Shots per game: 3.6Shots ITB per game: 3.1 https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable=Mins per goal: 100 https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="👀" title="Augen" aria-label="Emoji: Augen">Key passes per game: 1.6More UCL 19/20 stats...Shots per game: 3.6Shots ITB per game: 3.1 https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="👀" title="Augen" aria-label="Emoji: Augen">Mins per goal: 145Key passes per game: 1.43/9" title="More Bundesliga 19/20 stats...Shots per game: 3.6Shots ITB per game: 3.1 https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="👀" title="Augen" aria-label="Emoji: Augen">Mins per goal: 100 https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="👀" title="Augen" aria-label="Emoji: Augen">Key passes per game: 1.6More UCL 19/20 stats...Shots per game: 3.6Shots ITB per game: 3.1 https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="👀" title="Augen" aria-label="Emoji: Augen">Mins per goal: 145Key passes per game: 1.43/9" class="img-responsive" style="max-width:100%;"/>
Stats comparison with similarly priced #FPL assets...
(19/20 points per match)

Jimenez: £8.5m (5.1)
Ings: £8.5m (5.2)
Martial: £9.0m (6.2*) *when classified as a MID
Vardy: £10.0m (6.0)

Werner outperforms all 4 by all of the key values measured here https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="👀" title="Augen" aria-label="Emoji: Augen">

4/9
Looking good, but perhaps he& #39;s performing way beyond his underlying stats?

His numbers show steady improvement (he& #39;s 24) & the kind of sustainable overperformance on xG that you& #39;d expect from a good finisher +recent underperformance on xA. Stronger teammates will help that.

6/9
But the Bundesliga isn& #39;t the PL. Is there a drop off in performance for players that come from the BL?

Here& #39;s a pertinent example...

Aubameyang (xG90 / xA90)
BL 15/16 - 1.02 / .24
BL 16/17 - 1.01 / .15
BL 17/18 - 1.02 / .16 (^Jan)

PL 17/18 - .78 / .11 (Jan+)
~25% drop off

7/9
If Werner were to suffer a 25% reduction in his underlying stats he& #39;d still likely outperform Jimenez, Ings, Martial, Vardy & Kane. Not Aguero - but then his stats are phenomenal.

He& #39;d also likely be in the race for the PL golden boot.

At £9.5m he looks kindly priced.

8/9
How about the eye test?
Here& #39;s a video of all of his Bundesliga 19/20 goals

Pace, strength & composure. Poachers goals too. Aerial duals might be a weakness. Could be very dangerous on the counter against other strong teams.

Is he in your GW1 team?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2bRPncvNfgY

9/9">https://www.youtube.com/watch...
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