Modellers and lockdown advocates everywhere seem awfully keen to pin excess mortality on unreported Covid deaths. There will be some of these, BUT:
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(1) The models' purpose was to estimate health system resource demand, not deaths. They were generally out by an order of magnitude on this. "Finding" more Covid deaths is not redemptive.
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(2) Empty hospitals and cancelled elective surgeries must increase non-Covid mortality, unless you believe that hospitals and healthcare workers don't normal save people.
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(3) Reported Covid deaths seem to include many "deaths with" in many locations. These should be compensated for to avoid overestimating Covid mortality.
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Describing non-Covid deaths as "Covid-related" invites media misrepresentation. The correct attribution is likely to lockdown. Regard with suspicion any excess mortality analyses that don't reflect all of these remarks.
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