1/ Thread : What could happen now to #Belarus #highlightingBelarus #BelarusProtests #BelarusElection

Lukashenko was just quoted on @tutby that he thinks the protest are a threat to #Russia and #Belarus and that he needs to speak to #Putin.
2/ So here we go: Already yesterday the Russian Defense ministry speaker claimed that outside forces are trying to destabilize Belarus. This is the same propaganda and talking points we've seen during Maidan in Ukraine.
3/ The Editor in chief of Russia today claims that an annexation would be the best solution for the problems in Belarus. The cold cynicism of the Kremlin comes from the fact that with the protests that now have been dragging on for a week, real possiblities of change for…
4/ …Belarus have been getting smaller and smaller: As Tikhanovskaya stated yesterday, the European sanctions might even make it a bit harder to bargain and find common ground in the transition. As for Russia, their options haven't changed yet.
5/ From an invasion, annexation to smaller interventions, their options are still on the table. All of them. With a weak US President and an US election on the horizon, shrinking US Troops in Europe, it comes down to the European Union to play an important role.
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