Some interesting Kyle Wright stats

In his career the leadoff batter in the inning has a 1.026 OPS, and he gives up a 1.091 OPS with two outs.

His OPS against drops from .966 to .863 with runners on, and if that runner is on first the OPS against is .567.

His best numbers are in high leverage situations (.685 OPS)

Walk rates in those situations
All 16.1%
Leadoff 12.2%
Two Outs 20.4%
Bases Empty 12.9%
Runners On 19.5%
Man On First 8.1%
High Leverage 19.2%
Low+Medium Leverage 15.6%

He’s also dominant for the first 25 pitches then completely falls apart which I think we all knew. I don’t have the direct numbers but the conclusions from the statistics would be that the biggest difference in high leverage situations/runners on is ground ball rate

There’s not nearly enough sample to make conclusions here but I found it interesting. With him struggling to repeat it may be worth dropping the windup altogether. As well, I’m not alone in thinking most of his issues are mental, and he needs to find whatever helps him focus best

that seems to be “throw ground balls and let the strikeouts come naturally” but he still struggles with walks in any situation so that’s just...I mean obviously he’s got to do something.

One important thing to note is that those first 25 pitches his walk rate is significantly lower than any other time (something we all could have guessed) and I think he simply gets hit once or twice and completely loses confidence in missing bats

That’s an easy pattern to fall into for a young hitter but he needs to tell himself look man there are MLB hitters. They will get you. Trust your stuff, trust your defense, throw strikes and let baseball happen. His stuff is too good to nibble because he’s scared of contact

Pitch 1-25
24.3% K, 12.2% BB, .647 OPS, .092 ISO

26-50
16.7% K, 22.7% BB, 1.185 OPS, .362 ISO

51-75
16.7% K, 13.8% BB, 1.030 OPS, .290 ISO

76-100
0% K, 20% BB, 1.071 OPS, .286 ISO

No starting pitcher gets fatigued that quickly. That’s not a physical change.