Welcome to the era of brute force and militarization; after 40 years of welfare period.
America is not the boss anymore and it couldn't even bring 3 votes together on UN meeting against Iran.
It's a massive blow to global authority. https://twitter.com/cnni/status/1294439425766719489
First question is "How big is this?"
It is as big, as Cuba Missile crisis, on steroids. Yep, it is that bad, i will reveal you the logic behind it.
It's historical. https://thehill.com/policy/defense/512130-un-security-council-rejects-us-bid-to-extend-iran-arms-embargo
And it does that mainly through two devices, the United Nations and North Atlantic Pact, which is NATO.
That's the center of gravity
So, it basically means that there will be no center of gravity for the global authority soon, nada!
The Dominican Republic, the fucking Dominican Republic!
Can you imagine how bad is that?
Because 11 other members of the council abstained. Including major U.S. allies France, Germany and the United Kingdom...
Normally, it looks like this;
And none of the US allies couldn't stand with USA against this bravado. Not because of they are aligned with the rivals, but they don't have enough confidence on US anymore.
Therefore, they gave a de facto green light for the sale of modern weapons and equipment to Iran.
Which is a massive problem for USA & ISRAEL.
Because they are fearing from a sudden Russian aggression a lot, so they don't want to risk their position by standing with USA just like before.
That's dangerous. Because they will not feel secure anymore and insecure states are just like wild animals.
Here is the naked proof; https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/europe/russia-warns-it-will-see-any-incoming-missile-as-nuclear/2020/08/07/b8f631b4-d8a0-11ea-a788-2ce86ce81129_story.html
Russia’s military is warning that Moscow will perceive any ballistic missile launched at its territory as a nuclear attack that warrants a nuclear retaliationhttps://www.washingtonpost.com/world/europe/russia-warns-it-will-see-any-incoming-missile-as-nuclear/2020/08/07/b8f631b4-d8a0-11ea-a788-2ce86ce81129_story.html
This rule of engagement will spread to other actors as well, most likely. But they might not declare it like Russians.
They will need to use their soft power, hard power and military power combined and they need strong results to gain confidence again.
In best case scenario, Snapback option might be used as well, but that's a slim chance.
It's happening at the moment; https://twitter.com/lextalioner/status/1294995727647637504?s=20
USA must put its weight to the table as quickly as possible, and this is an opening for the both parties.
An opportunity to show their might.
According to latest rumors, Russian troops entered to the Belarus from border and heading towards Minsk in these very hours. https://twitter.com/RT_com/status/1295323034518257668?s=20
Putin rejected his involvement with Belarus, but all rumors states that they are trying a hybrid Intervention with unmarked troops.
After 10 days of protests, Alexander Lukashenko says he has given orders to end the unrest in Minsk.https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-53831663?xtor=AL-72-%5Bpartner%5D-%5Bbbc.news.twitter%5D-%5Bheadline%5D-%5Bnews%5D-%5Bbizdev%5D-%5Bisapi%5D&at_custom3=%40BBCNews&at_campaign=64&at_custom4=F0CB9454-E231-11EA-9AD3-4118933C408C&at_custom2=twitter&at_medium=custom7&at_custom1=%5Bpost+type%5D
UK, France and Germany released a joint statement saying they would not support the action.
So either USA will sit & watch modern arm sales to IRAN, or they will use brute force to stop it. https://www.bourseandbazaar.com/news-1/2020/8/20/us-bid-to-snapback-iran-sanctions-immediately-rejected
The United States formally began the process Thursday of activating a controversial mechanism aimed at reimposing sanctions on Iran, a move that was immediately rejected by European allies fighting...https://www.bourseandbazaar.com/news-1/2020/8/20/us-bid-to-snapback-iran-sanctions-immediately-rejected
This is getting even more interesting, there is a fight on top of the food chain and they won't see USA as an Apex Predator anymore. https://sputniknews.com/us/202008201080230797-pompeo-accuses-european-allies-of-siding-with-ayatollahs-over-iran-sanctions-stance/
US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo slammed Washington's European allies in a Thursday news conference from the United Nations Security Council (UNSC), claiming that...https://sputniknews.com/us/202008201080230797-pompeo-accuses-european-allies-of-siding-with-ayatollahs-over-iran-sanctions-stance/
Secretary of State M. Pompeo just stated that Iran is an immediate nuclear threat that must be dealt with. (As expected)
From now on, US will do everything to stop modern arm sales to Iran. They won't just sit & watch. https://twitter.com/SecPompeo/status/1297187511081590792?s=20
At the end, he declared;
"China's world dominance is not inevitable." https://twitter.com/SecPompeo/status/1296913256204951553?s=20
Same sources also states that Lukashenko is evacuated by a helicopter. https://twitter.com/franakviacorka/status/1297511764112932865?s=20
This is historical.
Large military convoy headed to the Minsk as well. So, it seems like Lukashenko is ready to fight.
This is going to be a long night for them.
Yesterday, they broke into Chinese military drill live exercise zone with a reconnaissance aircraft. https://twitter.com/shen_shiwei/status/1298254032742432768?s=20
Doesn't look friendly at all. Normally, China likes to play the kindness card. Not anymore though. https://twitter.com/globaltimesnews/status/1298429965868965888?s=20
Two Russion attack helicopters & vehicles harrassed & sideswiped a light-armored US military vehicle.
It doesn't look good. https://twitter.com/i/status/1298663855392993287
He also added; "I just hope we never have to use that because that's a level of power you don't even want to talk about."
Welcome back to the Cuba Missile Crisis era, on steroids.
The PLA is preparing for modern, networked warfare with more artificial intelligence, warships, and even a space station.https://www.defenseone.com/threats/2020/09/china-rapidly-increasing-nuclear-naval-and-next-gen-tech-pentagon-warns/168166/
For the first time in decades, all German disaster warning systems will be tested on September 10th, 2020. In the information age, there are many of those.https://berlinspectator.com/2020/08/28/germany-nationwide-warning-day-to-take-place-on-september-10th/
NATO has beefed up reconnaissance activities on Russia's borders near the Baltic and Black Seas over the past several weeks, forcing the Russian military to scramble...https://sputniknews.com/military/202009061080383048-nato-routinely-imitates-missile-strikes-on-russia-during-test-flights-defence-minister-shoigu-says/
While the Democrats’ record on arms control doesn’t look good at all, it’s no match for that of Donald Trump who is amplifying the risk of nuclear weapons being put to use, world-renowned intellect...https://www.rt.com/news/499937-chomsky-trump-nuclear-threat/
Pakistan, Iran, Myanmar, Belarus and Armenia are also among the countries taking part in the exercises.
China, Russia, Iran, Belarus, even Pakistan will be there. Such a party. https://www.smh.com.au/world/asia/china-and-iran-embark-on-joint-military-drills-in-russia-20200910-p55ueq.html
CHINA has chillingly said it’s ‘ready for war’ after 11,000 US troops were called to Guam for massive military drills. The soldiers – along with America’s largest warships a…https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/worldnews/12668155/china-ready-war-troops-hold-drills-guam/
So they started to move some troops to Lithuania to take part in Atlantic Resolve drills at only few miles away from Belarus border. Numbers aren't impressive though. https://tass.com/defense/1200161
If you don't know, those bombers generally carrying nuclear warheads. This lady in UK, has no idea. https://twitter.com/lushwalks/status/1305590623823564800?s=20
Most of them doesn't have any idea about what kind of nuclear powerhouse flying over their heads though. This B52 patrolling process is in progress since few weeks btw. https://twitter.com/steerwithmyrear/status/1305542463805952001?s=20
US actually started to show force as i expected but in Indo-Pacific. Not EU. https://news.usni.org/2020/09/14/valiant-shield-2020-kicks-off-today-as-joint-force-assembles-in-mariana-islands
Joint forces are assembling around Guam and the Mariana Islands Range Complex for high-end Pacific exercise Valiant Shield 2020, which kicks off today. The exercise, which takes place every other...https://news.usni.org/2020/09/14/valiant-shield-2020-kicks-off-today-as-joint-force-assembles-in-mariana-islands
It's not though. It's a unusual watchdog campaign in best case. https://twitter.com/i/status/1305446194798145536
❝Welcome to the era of brute force and militarization; after 40 years of welfare period.❝
My theory is confirmed by EU Chief Josep Borrel today. We are heading to a multi-polar world. Not even Tripolar. https://www.euractiv.com/section/global-europe/news/empires-are-back-borrell-tells-eu-lawmakers-before-crucial-eu-summit/1506487/
The EU has reached a critical junction in its relations with Turkey, its chief diplomat, Josep Borrel, said on Tuesday (15 September), urging Ankara to back down from conflict in the Eastern Medite...https://www.euractiv.com/section/global-europe/news/empires-are-back-borrell-tells-eu-lawmakers-before-crucial-eu-summit/1506487/