World officially changed today.
Welcome to the era of brute force and militarization; after 40 years of welfare period.
America is not the boss anymore and it couldn't even bring 3 votes together on UN meeting against Iran.
THREE!
It's a massive blow to global authority. https://twitter.com/cnni/status/1294439425766719489
Welcome to the era of brute force and militarization; after 40 years of welfare period.
America is not the boss anymore and it couldn't even bring 3 votes together on UN meeting against Iran.
THREE!
It's a massive blow to global authority. https://twitter.com/cnni/status/1294439425766719489
Ok, now it's calm enough. So we can get back to UN Security Council meeting.
First question is "How big is this?"
It is as big, as Cuba Missile crisis, on steroids. Yep, it is that bad, i will reveal you the logic behind it.
It's historical. https://thehill.com/policy/defense/512130-un-security-council-rejects-us-bid-to-extend-iran-arms-embargo
First question is "How big is this?"
It is as big, as Cuba Missile crisis, on steroids. Yep, it is that bad, i will reveal you the logic behind it.
It's historical. https://thehill.com/policy/defense/512130-un-security-council-rejects-us-bid-to-extend-iran-arms-embargo
United States is keeping the world in balance and shaping it according to its interests and world vision since the end of cold war era in 1991.
And it does that mainly through two devices, the United Nations and North Atlantic Pact, which is NATO.
That's the center of gravity
And it does that mainly through two devices, the United Nations and North Atlantic Pact, which is NATO.
That's the center of gravity
Unfortunately, one of these devices became completely useless yesterday. It's not gonna be so surprising if other one suffers the same fate soon.
So, it basically means that there will be no center of gravity for the global authority soon, nada!
So, it basically means that there will be no center of gravity for the global authority soon, nada!
The United States completely lost his influence in United Nations Security Council yesterday and she can only manage to raise one vote in her favor...
The Dominican Republic, the fucking Dominican Republic!
Can you imagine how bad is that?
The Dominican Republic, the fucking Dominican Republic!
Can you imagine how bad is that?
Russia and China said "No" as expected. But they didn't even have to use their veto rights.
Because 11 other members of the council abstained. Including major U.S. allies France, Germany and the United Kingdom...
Normally, it looks like this;
Because 11 other members of the council abstained. Including major U.S. allies France, Germany and the United Kingdom...
Normally, it looks like this;
So, the global leadership of the United States officially challenged by China and Russia.
And none of the US allies couldn't stand with USA against this bravado. Not because of they are aligned with the rivals, but they don't have enough confidence on US anymore.
FEAR!
And none of the US allies couldn't stand with USA against this bravado. Not because of they are aligned with the rivals, but they don't have enough confidence on US anymore.
FEAR!
This challenge created a Mexican Standoff between China - Russia - USA but US allies aren't confident enough to pick any side yet.
Therefore, they gave a de facto green light for the sale of modern weapons and equipment to Iran.
Which is a massive problem for USA & ISRAEL.
Therefore, they gave a de facto green light for the sale of modern weapons and equipment to Iran.
Which is a massive problem for USA & ISRAEL.
From now on, USA will be forced to show and exercise its might & power to gain their confidence and respect, against Russia & China.
Because they are fearing from a sudden Russian aggression a lot, so they don't want to risk their position by standing with USA just like before.
Because they are fearing from a sudden Russian aggression a lot, so they don't want to risk their position by standing with USA just like before.
They look super confused. I mean, 11 abstained members on UN Security Council against Iran Sanctions basically means a massive authority vacuum in the top of the world.
That's dangerous. Because they will not feel secure anymore and insecure states are just like wild animals.
That's dangerous. Because they will not feel secure anymore and insecure states are just like wild animals.
World is in off-balance at the moment, which will (not might) drive all governments into security paranoia and into a new cold war in best case scenario.
Here is the naked proof; https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/europe/russia-warns-it-will-see-any-incoming-missile-as-nuclear/2020/08/07/b8f631b4-d8a0-11ea-a788-2ce86ce81129_story.html
Here is the naked proof; https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/europe/russia-warns-it-will-see-any-incoming-missile-as-nuclear/2020/08/07/b8f631b4-d8a0-11ea-a788-2ce86ce81129_story.html
Look closer...
This rule of engagement will spread to other actors as well, most likely. But they might not declare it like Russians.
This rule of engagement will spread to other actors as well, most likely. But they might not declare it like Russians.
USA might fix that. But it's not gonna be easy at all.
They will need to use their soft power, hard power and military power combined and they need strong results to gain confidence again.
In best case scenario, Snapback option might be used as well, but that's a slim chance.
They will need to use their soft power, hard power and military power combined and they need strong results to gain confidence again.
In best case scenario, Snapback option might be used as well, but that's a slim chance.
I said it; "USA must show force to gain vote of confidence" again in UN against Russia in the region.
It's happening at the moment; https://twitter.com/lextalioner/status/1294995727647637504?s=20
It's happening at the moment; https://twitter.com/lextalioner/status/1294995727647637504?s=20
Belarus could be the "moment of truth" and a decisive factor for the unfolding conflict.
USA must put its weight to the table as quickly as possible, and this is an opening for the both parties.
An opportunity to show their might.
USA must put its weight to the table as quickly as possible, and this is an opening for the both parties.
An opportunity to show their might.
Update; Lukashenko clearly announced that he is not going to step back.
According to latest rumors, Russian troops entered to the Belarus from border and heading towards Minsk in these very hours. https://twitter.com/RT_com/status/1295323034518257668?s=20
According to latest rumors, Russian troops entered to the Belarus from border and heading towards Minsk in these very hours. https://twitter.com/RT_com/status/1295323034518257668?s=20
Trump has played "Snapback" card instead of showing his might on Belarus. But USA still shifting some troops and equipment from Germany to Poland.
Putin rejected his involvement with Belarus, but all rumors states that they are trying a hybrid Intervention with unmarked troops.
Putin rejected his involvement with Belarus, but all rumors states that they are trying a hybrid Intervention with unmarked troops.
After 10 days of ongoing protests, Lukashenko ordered clamp down for the protests. Non lethal force & detention will be used against protesters. We will see the results soon. https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-53831663?xtor=AL-72-%5Bpartner%5D-%5Bbbc.news.twitter%5D-%5Bheadline%5D-%5Bnews%5D-%5Bbizdev%5D-%5Bisapi%5D&at_custom3=%40BBCNews&at_campaign=64&at_custom4=F0CB9454-E231-11EA-9AD3-4118933C408C&at_custom2=twitter&at_medium=custom7&at_custom1=%5Bpost+type%5D

UK, France and Germany released a joint statement saying they would not support the action.
So either USA will sit & watch modern arm sales to IRAN, or they will use brute force to stop it. https://www.bourseandbazaar.com/news-1/2020/8/20/us-bid-to-snapback-iran-sanctions-immediately-rejected

This is getting even more interesting, there is a fight on top of the food chain and they won't see USA as an Apex Predator anymore. https://sputniknews.com/us/202008201080230797-pompeo-accuses-european-allies-of-siding-with-ayatollahs-over-iran-sanctions-stance/

Secretary of State M. Pompeo just stated that Iran is an immediate nuclear threat that must be dealt with. (As expected)
From now on, US will do everything to stop modern arm sales to Iran. They won't just sit & watch. https://twitter.com/SecPompeo/status/1297187511081590792?s=20

At the end, he declared;
"China's world dominance is not inevitable." https://twitter.com/SecPompeo/status/1296913256204951553?s=20


Same sources also states that Lukashenko is evacuated by a helicopter. https://twitter.com/franakviacorka/status/1297511764112932865?s=20

This is historical.

Large military convoy headed to the Minsk as well. So, it seems like Lukashenko is ready to fight.

This is going to be a long night for them.

Yesterday, they broke into Chinese military drill live exercise zone with a reconnaissance aircraft. https://twitter.com/shen_shiwei/status/1298254032742432768?s=20

Doesn't look friendly at all. Normally, China likes to play the kindness card. Not anymore though. https://twitter.com/globaltimesnews/status/1298429965868965888?s=20

Two Russion attack helicopters & vehicles harrassed & sideswiped a light-armored US military vehicle.
It doesn't look good. https://twitter.com/i/status/1298663855392993287


He also added; "I just hope we never have to use that because that's a level of power you don't even want to talk about."
Welcome back to the Cuba Missile Crisis era, on steroids.

Also








https://www.militarynews.ru/story.asp?rid=1&nid=536707&lang=RU
Welcome to the stage, Belarussia. https://twitter.com/lextalioner/status/1305629376386662405?s=20
Chinese forces arrived to Russia to take part in the huge multilateral military exercises in southern Russia, called Kavkaz-2020. Yeah, joint military drill!
Pakistan, Iran, Myanmar, Belarus and Armenia are also among the countries taking part in the exercises.
Pakistan, Iran, Myanmar, Belarus and Armenia are also among the countries taking part in the exercises.
Half of the world getting together in Russia for a military exercise against other half of the world.
China, Russia, Iran, Belarus, even Pakistan will be there. Such a party. https://www.smh.com.au/world/asia/china-and-iran-embark-on-joint-military-drills-in-russia-20200910-p55ueq.html
China, Russia, Iran, Belarus, even Pakistan will be there. Such a party. https://www.smh.com.au/world/asia/china-and-iran-embark-on-joint-military-drills-in-russia-20200910-p55ueq.html
China also stated that they are ready for war, both militarily and morally when needed, right after the US military drills in Guam. https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/worldnews/12668155/china-ready-war-troops-hold-drills-guam/
US couldn't show a true might in Belarus or manage to overthrown Lukashenko so far.
So they started to move some troops to Lithuania to take part in Atlantic Resolve drills at only few miles away from Belarus border. Numbers aren't impressive though. https://tass.com/defense/1200161
So they started to move some troops to Lithuania to take part in Atlantic Resolve drills at only few miles away from Belarus border. Numbers aren't impressive though. https://tass.com/defense/1200161
USA isn't active on ground level. But they are active in China Sea and patrolling with B52 Bombers over NATO countries, near Russian borders.
If you don't know, those bombers generally carrying nuclear warheads. This
lady in UK, has no idea. https://twitter.com/lushwalks/status/1305590623823564800?s=20
If you don't know, those bombers generally carrying nuclear warheads. This

People in the UK who took videos of B52 bombers today looks happy and intrigued.
Most of them doesn't have any idea about what kind of nuclear powerhouse flying over their heads though. This B52 patrolling process is in progress since few weeks btw. https://twitter.com/steerwithmyrear/status/1305542463805952001?s=20
Most of them doesn't have any idea about what kind of nuclear powerhouse flying over their heads though. This B52 patrolling process is in progress since few weeks btw. https://twitter.com/steerwithmyrear/status/1305542463805952001?s=20
Almost all B52 missions in last weeks intercepted by Russian jets when they approached to the RU airspace by the way. Last interception happened today; https://twitter.com/ASBMilitary/status/1305566247594209285?s=20
USA has started Valiant Shield Exercises today with 100 aircraft and an estimated 11,000 personnel from US Navy & US Airforce (including B52s) near Guam in North Pacific Ocean.
US actually started to show force as i expected but in Indo-Pacific. Not EU. https://news.usni.org/2020/09/14/valiant-shield-2020-kicks-off-today-as-joint-force-assembles-in-mariana-islands
US actually started to show force as i expected but in Indo-Pacific. Not EU. https://news.usni.org/2020/09/14/valiant-shield-2020-kicks-off-today-as-joint-force-assembles-in-mariana-islands
USA is trying to sell regular B52 patrols over NATO, EU and Ukraine as some kind of regular military integration exercise.
It's not though. It's a unusual watchdog campaign in best case. https://twitter.com/i/status/1305446194798145536
It's not though. It's a unusual watchdog campaign in best case. https://twitter.com/i/status/1305446194798145536
I opened this thread with a warning long ago:
❝Welcome to the era of brute force and militarization; after 40 years of welfare period.❝
My theory is confirmed by EU Chief Josep Borrel today. We are heading to a multi-polar world. Not even Tripolar. https://www.euractiv.com/section/global-europe/news/empires-are-back-borrell-tells-eu-lawmakers-before-crucial-eu-summit/1506487/
❝Welcome to the era of brute force and militarization; after 40 years of welfare period.❝
My theory is confirmed by EU Chief Josep Borrel today. We are heading to a multi-polar world. Not even Tripolar. https://www.euractiv.com/section/global-europe/news/empires-are-back-borrell-tells-eu-lawmakers-before-crucial-eu-summit/1506487/