Does Le'Veon Bell have elite upside?
A short thread.

First, volume. Bell had 311 touches in 15 games in 2019. The other Jets backs had 119 touches. That came on 956 Jets offensive plays. Gase is always slow, but we're talking about upside here. For Gase upside I'd say 980 plays.

Bell ran the ball on about 27% of the Jets plays. Let's say Gore & Perine drive that down to 25%. That puts Bell at 245 rush attempts.

Bell was targeted on about 8.7% of the Jets plays. I don't expect Gore or Perine to impact that so we'll say 85 target upside reasonably

Now, efficiency. Bell was miserable last year at 3.2 yards per carry, but that's such an outlier we'd expect regression. Still, the Jets o-line is bad so we'll say his upside is 4.0 yards per carry. Still below his career mark. That's 980 rushing yards.

Bell's yards per target (5.9) was about 10% worse than his career mark. Let's split the difference and say his upside is 6.2. That's 527 receiving yards. I think his reasonable upside his probably below his 84.6% catch rate from last year, let's say 82%. That's 70 catches.