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\THREAD #Phillies Rhys Hoskins has been terrible in 2020... except he hasn& #39;t and is probably getting SUPER UNLUCKY...
He& #39;s been cheap and in great spots the past few days but has been failing, and now everyone is saying "Welp, can& #39;t playing Hoskins, gotta X him out of DFS lineups"... but I don& #39;t think that& #39;s the right move based on the data.
His strikeout and walk rates are both MUCH BETTER than previous years. They won& #39;t stay this much better, but this isn& #39;t a guy who& #39;s actually struggling.
Source: https://www.fangraphs.com/players/rhys-hoskins/16472/stats?position=1B/OF">https://www.fangraphs.com/players/r...
Source: https://www.fangraphs.com/players/rhys-hoskins/16472/stats?position=1B/OF">https://www.fangraphs.com/players/r...
The issue is he has 0 home runs... but his Statcast numbers look great! Everything except Barrel%, which probably explains the 0 HRs, but when his Exit Velos and Launch Angles are look good, it& #39;s may just be small sample bad luck that they haven& #39;t combined for barrels yet.
Hoskins& #39;s Exit Velocity on Flyballs is *UP* 3 mph. His % of air balls hit 100+ mph is *UP* 3% from 2019. His average EV is the same as always. His Sweet Spot Launch Angle is *UP* 5 degrees... and his "Too High" (38°+%) LA% is down!
Source: https://evanalytics.com/mlb/leaderboards/statcast-stats">https://evanalytics.com/mlb/leade...
Source: https://evanalytics.com/mlb/leaderboards/statcast-stats">https://evanalytics.com/mlb/leade...
IOW, Rhys Hoskins is probably getting VERY UNLUCKY. It& #39;s only two weeks into the season, and while we shouldn& #39;t overreact to bad performance even when the peripherals are bad, we ESPECIALLY shouldn& #39;t overreact when the peripheral are great... career highs in some cases!
Maybe there& #39;s something all of these numbers are missing, but it seems much more likely Hoskins is about to turn things around. My advice: play him in DFS and trade for him in season-long.
