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1/
Today's (8-13) report on NC's requests for absentee by mail (ABM) ballots:
Total requests among reporting 97 (out of 100) counties: 195,248
Up 12,122 from yesterday
This same day in 2016's requests: 24,535
2020 is now 8X ahead of 2016's #s for same day
#ncpol #ncvotes
Today's (8-13) report on NC's requests for absentee by mail (ABM) ballots:
Total requests among reporting 97 (out of 100) counties: 195,248
Up 12,122 from yesterday
This same day in 2016's requests: 24,535
2020 is now 8X ahead of 2016's #s for same day
#ncpol #ncvotes
2/
2020 weekly numbers generated in NC requests for absentee by mail ballots.
We're well into week 33 (week 1 = Jan 1, 2020) of receiving requests from NC voters for an absentee by mail ballot.
This week, nearly 20K requests for NC absentee by mail ballots.
#ncpol #ncvotes
2020 weekly numbers generated in NC requests for absentee by mail ballots.
We're well into week 33 (week 1 = Jan 1, 2020) of receiving requests from NC voters for an absentee by mail ballot.
This week, nearly 20K requests for NC absentee by mail ballots.
#ncpol #ncvotes
3/
2020 vs. 2016 same week by week cumulative totals of NC absentee by mail ballot requests
2020 met 2016's totals in mid-May and has far-exceeded since
Again, NC is 8X ahead of same day #s in 2016
As of 8/13: 2020 #s = 84% of 2016 total requests of 231K
#ncpol #ncvotes
2020 vs. 2016 same week by week cumulative totals of NC absentee by mail ballot requests
2020 met 2016's totals in mid-May and has far-exceeded since
Again, NC is 8X ahead of same day #s in 2016
As of 8/13: 2020 #s = 84% of 2016 total requests of 231K
#ncpol #ncvotes
4/
Party registrations for same day ABM request totals in 2016 vs. 2020.
In 2016:
registered Democrats: 9,169 (37%)
reg Unaffiliated: 6,513 (27%)
reg Republicans: 8,770 (36%)
8/13/20:
reg Dems: 95,853 (49%)
reg Unaff: 62,875 (32%)
reg Rep: 34,920 (18%)
#ncpol #ncvotes
Party registrations for same day ABM request totals in 2016 vs. 2020.
In 2016:
registered Democrats: 9,169 (37%)
reg Unaffiliated: 6,513 (27%)
reg Republicans: 8,770 (36%)
8/13/20:
reg Dems: 95,853 (49%)
reg Unaff: 62,875 (32%)
reg Rep: 34,920 (18%)
#ncpol #ncvotes
5/
All NC parties are up over this same time in 2016, but some are up "substantially more" than others.
Among registered Republicans: 4X ahead of their same 2016 totals as of today
Among reg Unaffiliated: 9.7X ahead
Among reg Democrats: 10X ahead
#ncpol #ncvotes
All NC parties are up over this same time in 2016, but some are up "substantially more" than others.
Among registered Republicans: 4X ahead of their same 2016 totals as of today
Among reg Unaffiliated: 9.7X ahead
Among reg Democrats: 10X ahead
#ncpol #ncvotes
6/
Weekly totals by party reg of 2020 NC requests for ABM ballots, starting mid-April:
So far this week, #s of requests processed:
GOP = 1,803
Unaff = 4,887
Dem = 12,919
#ncpol #ncvotes
Weekly totals by party reg of 2020 NC requests for ABM ballots, starting mid-April:
So far this week, #s of requests processed:
GOP = 1,803
Unaff = 4,887
Dem = 12,919
#ncpol #ncvotes
7/
The cumulative weekly totals since Jan 1 of NC requests for absentee by mail ballots, broken down by party registration.
NC Republican Party has sent out another mailer (see this tweet for photo of the mailer with request form: https://twitter.com/JustinforJoCo/status/1293664272812310528)
#ncpol #ncvotes
The cumulative weekly totals since Jan 1 of NC requests for absentee by mail ballots, broken down by party registration.
NC Republican Party has sent out another mailer (see this tweet for photo of the mailer with request form: https://twitter.com/JustinforJoCo/status/1293664272812310528)
#ncpol #ncvotes
8/
Party registration %s of cumulative totals each week since Jan 1 for NC requests for absentee by mail ballots:
Middle of April (Week 14) began spread b/w reg Dems & GOP, with Unaffiliateds holding steady in their %s.
Now % curves turning up for Dem, down for GOP
#ncpol
Party registration %s of cumulative totals each week since Jan 1 for NC requests for absentee by mail ballots:
Middle of April (Week 14) began spread b/w reg Dems & GOP, with Unaffiliateds holding steady in their %s.
Now % curves turning up for Dem, down for GOP
#ncpol
9/
Top 10 NC counties are now under 2/3 of all requests for absentee by mail ballots.
Top 2--Wake (Raleigh) and Mecklenburg (Charlotte)--account for little under 1/3 of the requests so far.
Here are top 15 NC counties:
#ncpol #ncvotes
Top 10 NC counties are now under 2/3 of all requests for absentee by mail ballots.
Top 2--Wake (Raleigh) and Mecklenburg (Charlotte)--account for little under 1/3 of the requests so far.
Here are top 15 NC counties:
#ncpol #ncvotes
10/
NC now has 27 counties above/at state's percentage of 84% of total 2016 requests so far.
13 counties already *exceed* their county 2016 total requests
#ncpol #ncvotes
NC now has 27 counties above/at state's percentage of 84% of total 2016 requests so far.
13 counties already *exceed* their county 2016 total requests
#ncpol #ncvotes
11/
Model of different "times factor" of 2016 same-day totals to see where things may end up come 9/4 when first NC ABM ballots will be sent out by counties.
Currently, 2020 #s have moved to 8X model, for potential 320K+ mailed out on 9/4:
#ncpol #ncvotes
Model of different "times factor" of 2016 same-day totals to see where things may end up come 9/4 when first NC ABM ballots will be sent out by counties.
Currently, 2020 #s have moved to 8X model, for potential 320K+ mailed out on 9/4:
#ncpol #ncvotes
12/
Important reminder: these #s are only for 97 out of 100 NC counties reporting. Many counties are catching up on processing requests, while some are slow to report.
So: these may be 'low estimates' of *actual* #s out there for requests for NC ABM ballots.
#ncpol #ncvotes
Important reminder: these #s are only for 97 out of 100 NC counties reporting. Many counties are catching up on processing requests, while some are slow to report.
So: these may be 'low estimates' of *actual* #s out there for requests for NC ABM ballots.
#ncpol #ncvotes
13/13
For those interested, the @NCSBE data file for all of these numbers is located at: https://dl.ncsbe.gov/index.html?prefix=ENRS/2020_11_03/
Important: *add* the numbers in the final column, per the various breakdowns, to calculate the numbers.
It is *NOT* a 'line-entry' report.
#ncpol #ncvotes
For those interested, the @NCSBE data file for all of these numbers is located at: https://dl.ncsbe.gov/index.html?prefix=ENRS/2020_11_03/
Important: *add* the numbers in the final column, per the various breakdowns, to calculate the numbers.
It is *NOT* a 'line-entry' report.
#ncpol #ncvotes
