Read on Twitter
BREAKING: 39.1% of teacher A-level predictions in England downgraded by algorithm https://inews.co.uk/news/education/a-level-results-2020-grades-downgraded-algorithm-triple-lock-u-turn-result-day-578194">https://inews.co.uk/news/educ... @theipaper #AlevelResults
Given there were 713,000 A-level entries in England, the figures suggest that about 280,000 grades were adjusted down (awaiting confirmation from @ofqual about this)
35.6% of results were one grade lower than proposed by schools, 3.3% were two grades lower and 0.2% were three grades lower.
In 58.7% of cases there was no change to the grade predicted, while 2.2% were increased by one grade, 0.05% by two grades, and 0.01% by three grades.
In 58.7% of cases there was no change to the grade predicted, while 2.2% were increased by one grade, 0.05% by two grades, and 0.01% by three grades.
Ofqual have said pupils from lower socioeconomic backgrounds were more likely to have seen a bigger downward adjustment, but said there was “no evidence of systematic bias” in the adjustments.
And here& #39;s the Ofqual analysis of the difference between teachers& #39; predicted grades (the & #39;CAGs& #39;) and their final & #39;calculated grade& #39;. Pupils with lower socioeconomic status see larger decrease at grade C than wealthier peers.
Ofqual deputy Michelle Meadows said: “There was a tendency for some more generosity to be there in the predictions for students from lower socioeconomic status backgrounds... there is a small effect of a greater difference between the end calculated grades and the CAGs.”
Geoff Barton of @ASCL_UK said his union had received “heartbreaking feedback from school leaders about grades being pulled down in a way that they feel to be utterly unfair and unfathomable”. He called on the Government and Ofqual to “review the situation as a matter of urgency”.
As previously indicated by Ofqual, worth noting that today’s final results show a slight increase in grades compared to last year. Across the UK, A* grades increased by 1.2 percentage points, while A* to A rose 2.4 percentage points.
If teacher predictions had not been moderated there would have been unprecedented grade inflation of 12.5 percentage points in England, with % A*-A grades leaping from 25.2% in 2019 to 37.7% in 2020.
With moderation was 27.6%.
With moderation was 27.6%.
And @ucas_online has said record numbers from disadvantaged backgrounds have a confirmed place on an undergraduate course, more applicants accepted onto their first choice of course than last year, and overall, more applicants have a place compared to results day 2019.
