1. Disappointed in the decision making at Cal Poly. Despite 87% of classes being online, the campus has encouraged all students to return. We will have up to 6000 students on campus, despite limited testing and delays in results.
2. My concern is that there will be an outbreak this fall created by students returning to Cal Poly. I hope this doesn't happen, because many people will get sick in the community unnecessarily.
3. A silver lining is that most of us can work from home. But if the community is not safe, we can't go back to in-person school or go to the doctor or the store.
4. I am truly worried about the essential workers on and off campus. They will bear the greatest risk and burden.
5. It's August 12, 2020. I'm putting it here. I think this decision is a big mistake. I hope it goes well for all involved and we have a smooth fall 2020 with few cases. But the evidence suggests that is not likely.
6. @youyanggu has a model that's been doing well. (Caveat that this is one model.) The number of *actual* cases by October 1 will still be 37K across the state. So community spread will still be a thing for many weeks.
7. Repost: chart for SLO.
10. Here's one of the core issues. Testing symptomatic (and close contacts) only. This means that if an outbreak starts, the campus will not likely be able to detect the extent of the outbreak, due to asymptomatic spread (~40%).
You can follow @stanyoshinobu.
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