The Mystery of Points Per Million
To kick off a series on FPL misconceptions (I hope will be useful for 20/21), first I& #39;ll cover "points per million" & the problems with how it& #39;s used by the community
Firstly, what is points per million (ppm)
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🤔" title="Denkendes Gesicht" aria-label="Emoji: Denkendes Gesicht">?
A player& #39;s ppm is just the points they have accrued
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="📈" title="Tabelle mit Aufwärtstrend" aria-label="Emoji: Tabelle mit Aufwärtstrend"> divided by their price
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="💰" title="Geldsack" aria-label="Emoji: Geldsack">. On the FPL website it is called "Value".
For example, in 19/20
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🏙️" title="Stadtbild" aria-label="Emoji: Stadtbild">KDB cost £9.5m & scored 251 pts. Therefore his ppm was 251/9.5 = 26.4 (1dp)
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔢" title="Eingabesymbol für Ziffern" aria-label="Emoji: Eingabesymbol für Ziffern">
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="➗" title="Dickes Divisionszeichen" aria-label="Emoji: Dickes Divisionszeichen">
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="👊" title="Fisted hand" aria-label="Emoji: Fisted hand">
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🥝" title="Kiwi fruit" aria-label="Emoji: Kiwi fruit">.
A player& #39;s ppm is just the points they have accrued
For example, in 19/20
The idea is that this will give you a picture of a player& #39;s value for money, allowing you to compare players across different price ranges
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="💸" title="Geld mit Flügeln" aria-label="Emoji: Geld mit Flügeln">.
Then you will know whether spending £9.5m on KDB is "worth it", or whether you would be better off spreading the funds elsewhere
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🍯" title="Honigtopf" aria-label="Emoji: Honigtopf">
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔁" title="Nach rechts und links zeigende Pfeile in offenem Kreis im Uhrzeigersinn" aria-label="Emoji: Nach rechts und links zeigende Pfeile in offenem Kreis im Uhrzeigersinn">
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🥝" title="Kiwi fruit" aria-label="Emoji: Kiwi fruit">.
Then you will know whether spending £9.5m on KDB is "worth it", or whether you would be better off spreading the funds elsewhere
By this logic
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🧠" title="Gehirn" aria-label="Emoji: Gehirn">, the best value players from last season (by end price) were:
32.7
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🍷" title="Weinglas" aria-label="Emoji: Weinglas">Pope
31.3
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="⚔️" title="Gekreuzte Schwerter" aria-label="Emoji: Gekreuzte Schwerter">Lundstram
30.8
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="⚔️" title="Gekreuzte Schwerter" aria-label="Emoji: Gekreuzte Schwerter">D Henderson
28.9
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🐺" title="Wolfsgesicht" aria-label="Emoji: Wolfsgesicht">Patricio
28.7
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🐦" title="Vogel" aria-label="Emoji: Vogel">Ryan
Hang on! There are 4 GKs here
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🧤" title="Handschuhe" aria-label="Emoji: Handschuhe">. Does that mean GK is the most important? Obviously not. So what& #39;s really going on?
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🧐" title="Gesicht mit Monokel" aria-label="Emoji: Gesicht mit Monokel">
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🥝" title="Kiwi fruit" aria-label="Emoji: Kiwi fruit">
32.7
31.3
30.8
28.9
28.7
Hang on! There are 4 GKs here
Well, there are multiple flawed ideas at play here
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="😬" title="Grimasse schneidendes Gesicht" aria-label="Emoji: Grimasse schneidendes Gesicht">.
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🚨" title="Polizeiautos mit drehendem Licht" aria-label="Emoji: Polizeiautos mit drehendem Licht">Firstly, ppm is a completely meaningless number in terms of how the game actually works.
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🚨" title="Polizeiautos mit drehendem Licht" aria-label="Emoji: Polizeiautos mit drehendem Licht">
You have to pick exactly 5 MIDs & have a total budget of £100m. What if every MID cost £2.0m less & your budget was £90m?
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="⚽" title="Fußball" aria-label="Emoji: Fußball">
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="💸" title="Geld mit Flügeln" aria-label="Emoji: Geld mit Flügeln">
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🤔" title="Denkendes Gesicht" aria-label="Emoji: Denkendes Gesicht">
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🥝" title="Kiwi fruit" aria-label="Emoji: Kiwi fruit">
You have to pick exactly 5 MIDs & have a total budget of £100m. What if every MID cost £2.0m less & your budget was £90m?
Then the game would be exactly the same
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="😮" title="Gesicht mit offenem Mund" aria-label="Emoji: Gesicht mit offenem Mund">! Say you spent £Xm on non-MIDs & £(100-X)m on MIDs. Then in the new game you can still spend £Xm on the same non-MIDs & £(100-X-10)m on the same MIDs as they each cost £2m less (so £10m less overall).
Nothing changes at all
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🤷♂️" title="Achselzuckender Mann" aria-label="Emoji: Achselzuckender Mann">
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🥝" title="Kiwi fruit" aria-label="Emoji: Kiwi fruit">...
Nothing changes at all
...except ppm. You guessed it
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="👩🎓" title="Woman student" aria-label="Emoji: Woman student">, even though the game is exactly the same, suddenly the ppms for MIDs are drastically different
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🤦♂️" title="Mann schlägt sich die Hand vors Gesicht" aria-label="Emoji: Mann schlägt sich die Hand vors Gesicht">.
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="❕" title="Weißes Ausrufezeichen Symbol" aria-label="Emoji: Weißes Ausrufezeichen Symbol"> Now the best value players are:
44.4
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔰" title="Japanisches Symbol für Anfänger" aria-label="Emoji: Japanisches Symbol für Anfänger">Cantwell
41.7
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🐺" title="Wolfsgesicht" aria-label="Emoji: Wolfsgesicht">Dendoncker
39.1
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🦁" title="Löwengesicht" aria-label="Emoji: Löwengesicht">Douglas Luiz
38.9
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="⚒️" title="Hammer und Spitzhacke" aria-label="Emoji: Hammer und Spitzhacke">Rice
38.2
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🦁" title="Löwengesicht" aria-label="Emoji: Löwengesicht">Grealish
Ppm does not make sense
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🥝" title="Kiwi fruit" aria-label="Emoji: Kiwi fruit">.
44.4
41.7
39.1
38.9
38.2
Ppm does not make sense
We& #39;ve done the same to everyone & it& #39;s still the same game
12.2
11.9
11.3
11.2
10.8
There is a more even spread which looks completely different to the 4 GKs
We can even make prices 0 or negative & keep it the same game but ppm does not make sense.
Is there a better way to think about player value
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🤔" title="Denkendes Gesicht" aria-label="Emoji: Denkendes Gesicht">? In this thread you can see an example of figuring out players& #39; "true values" by subtracting the minimum prices of players in that position (as you are required to fill every position anyway)
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="👇" title="Rückhand Zeigefinger nach unten" aria-label="Emoji: Rückhand Zeigefinger nach unten">:
https://twitter.com/FPLRatchet/status/1290257728674377730?s=19
https://twitter.com/FPLRatche... class="Emoji" style="height:16px;" src=" https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🧐" title="Gesicht mit Monokel" aria-label="Emoji: Gesicht mit Monokel">
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🥝" title="Kiwi fruit" aria-label="Emoji: Kiwi fruit">
https://twitter.com/FPLRatchet/status/1290257728674377730?s=19
This is a reasonable start. A popular next step is to work out a minimum number of pts to associate with each position& #39;s cheapest player
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔢" title="Eingabesymbol für Ziffern" aria-label="Emoji: Eingabesymbol für Ziffern">. Then subtract that from a player& #39;s points to get Effective Points (EP)
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="➖" title="Dickes Minuszeichen" aria-label="Emoji: Dickes Minuszeichen">, i.e. how many more they get you than the cheapest player.
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🤓" title="Nerd-Gesicht" aria-label="Emoji: Nerd-Gesicht">
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🥝" title="Kiwi fruit" aria-label="Emoji: Kiwi fruit">
For example,
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="😈" title="Lächelndes Gesicht mit Hörnern" aria-label="Emoji: Lächelndes Gesicht mit Hörnern">Rashford was £8.5m & scored 177 pts. Greenwood was £4.5m (the cheapest) & scored 103 pts
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🥅" title="Tornetz" aria-label="Emoji: Tornetz">.
So if you had Rashford then you paid £4.0m more to get 74pts more
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="👨🏫" title="Man teacher" aria-label="Emoji: Man teacher">. The value was 74/4 = 18.5
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔢" title="Eingabesymbol für Ziffern" aria-label="Emoji: Eingabesymbol für Ziffern">.
Is this fixed then? Let& #39;s look at the cheapest in each position
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔍" title="Nach links zeigende Lupe" aria-label="Emoji: Nach links zeigende Lupe">
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🥝" title="Kiwi fruit" aria-label="Emoji: Kiwi fruit">...
So if you had Rashford then you paid £4.0m more to get 74pts more
Is this fixed then? Let& #39;s look at the cheapest in each position
These were the highest scoring
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="📊" title="Balkendiagramm" aria-label="Emoji: Balkendiagramm">:
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🧤" title="Handschuhe" aria-label="Emoji: Handschuhe"> GK
20
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="⚒️" title="Hammer und Spitzhacke" aria-label="Emoji: Hammer und Spitzhacke">Martin
11
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔰" title="Japanisches Symbol für Anfänger" aria-label="Emoji: Japanisches Symbol für Anfänger">McGovern
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🛡️" title="Schild" aria-label="Emoji: Schild"> DEF
144
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="⚔️" title="Gekreuzte Schwerter" aria-label="Emoji: Gekreuzte Schwerter">Lundstram
84
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🍒" title="Kirschen" aria-label="Emoji: Kirschen">Rico
64
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🦅" title="Adler" aria-label="Emoji: Adler">Kelly
51
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="😈" title="Lächelndes Gesicht mit Hörnern" aria-label="Emoji: Lächelndes Gesicht mit Hörnern">B Williams
26
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🐦" title="Vogel" aria-label="Emoji: Vogel">Lamptey
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="⚽" title="Fußball" aria-label="Emoji: Fußball"> MID
111
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔰" title="Japanisches Symbol für Anfänger" aria-label="Emoji: Japanisches Symbol für Anfänger">Cantwell
100
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🐺" title="Wolfsgesicht" aria-label="Emoji: Wolfsgesicht">Dendoncker
90
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🦁" title="Löwengesicht" aria-label="Emoji: Löwengesicht">Douglas Luiz
73
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🏰" title="Europäisches Schloss" aria-label="Emoji: Europäisches Schloss">Hayden
71
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔫" title="Wasserpistole" aria-label="Emoji: Wasserpistole">Saka
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🎯" title="Volltreffer" aria-label="Emoji: Volltreffer"> FWD
103
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="😈" title="Lächelndes Gesicht mit Hörnern" aria-label="Emoji: Lächelndes Gesicht mit Hörnern">Greenwood
61
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🐦" title="Vogel" aria-label="Emoji: Vogel">Connolly
39
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔫" title="Wasserpistole" aria-label="Emoji: Wasserpistole">Martinelli
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="💸" title="Geld mit Flügeln" aria-label="Emoji: Geld mit Flügeln">
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔥" title="Feuer" aria-label="Emoji: Feuer">
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🥝" title="Kiwi fruit" aria-label="Emoji: Kiwi fruit">
20
11
144
84
64
51
26
111
100
90
73
71
103
61
39
I& #39;ve included enough to fill a team because that& #39;s essentially what& #39;s happening
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="👨👨👦👦" title="Familie (Mann, Mann, Junge, Junge)" aria-label="Emoji: Familie (Mann, Mann, Junge, Junge)">. We start with a base team for £64m (8×4.5m + 7×4m), & see how many more points we get by adding in different players
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔁" title="Nach rechts und links zeigende Pfeile in offenem Kreis im Uhrzeigersinn" aria-label="Emoji: Nach rechts und links zeigende Pfeile in offenem Kreis im Uhrzeigersinn">. So in order to calculate EP (& EPpm), we& #39;ll take an average by position
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🥝" title="Kiwi fruit" aria-label="Emoji: Kiwi fruit">.
The averages are:
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🧤" title="Handschuhe" aria-label="Emoji: Handschuhe">GK 15.5
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🛡️" title="Schild" aria-label="Emoji: Schild">DEF 73.8
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="⚽" title="Fußball" aria-label="Emoji: Fußball">MID 89.0
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🎯" title="Volltreffer" aria-label="Emoji: Volltreffer">FWD 67.7
Now we can rate more expensive players
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="💰" title="Geldsack" aria-label="Emoji: Geldsack"> by their "EPpm" calculated by:
EPpm = (pts - average)/(price - min)
(min = 4 or 4.5 based on position)
Note EPpm is not affected by changing prices how we did before!
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="😁" title="Grinsendes Gesicht mit lächelnden Augen" aria-label="Emoji: Grinsendes Gesicht mit lächelnden Augen">
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🥝" title="Kiwi fruit" aria-label="Emoji: Kiwi fruit">
Now we can rate more expensive players
EPpm = (pts - average)/(price - min)
(min = 4 or 4.5 based on position)
Note EPpm is not affected by changing prices how we did before!
Let& #39;s see the top EPpms (by start price)
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🧐" title="Gesicht mit Monokel" aria-label="Emoji: Gesicht mit Monokel">:
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🧤" title="Handschuhe" aria-label="Emoji: Handschuhe"> GK
309
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🍷" title="Weinglas" aria-label="Emoji: Weinglas">Pope
289
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="⚔️" title="Gekreuzte Schwerter" aria-label="Emoji: Gekreuzte Schwerter">Henderson
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🛡️" title="Schild" aria-label="Emoji: Schild"> DEF
136
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="⚔️" title="Gekreuzte Schwerter" aria-label="Emoji: Gekreuzte Schwerter">Baldock
118
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="⚔️" title="Gekreuzte Schwerter" aria-label="Emoji: Gekreuzte Schwerter">Egan
108
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🐦" title="Vogel" aria-label="Emoji: Vogel">Dunk
98
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="⚔️" title="Gekreuzte Schwerter" aria-label="Emoji: Gekreuzte Schwerter">Basham
92
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🦊" title="Fuchsgesicht" aria-label="Emoji: Fuchsgesicht">Soyuncu
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="⚽" title="Fußball" aria-label="Emoji: Fußball"> MID
82
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🐺" title="Wolfsgesicht" aria-label="Emoji: Wolfsgesicht">Traore
40
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🦁" title="Löwengesicht" aria-label="Emoji: Löwengesicht">Grealish
37
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="😈" title="Lächelndes Gesicht mit Hörnern" aria-label="Emoji: Lächelndes Gesicht mit Hörnern">Martial
32.4
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🏙️" title="Stadtbild" aria-label="Emoji: Stadtbild">De Bruyne
32 Mount/Shelvey/Rice/Noble
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🎯" title="Volltreffer" aria-label="Emoji: Volltreffer"> FWD
129
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🦅" title="Adler" aria-label="Emoji: Adler">Ayew
87
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="👼" title="Babyengel" aria-label="Emoji: Babyengel">Ings
42
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🐦" title="Vogel" aria-label="Emoji: Vogel">Maupay
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🥝" title="Kiwi fruit" aria-label="Emoji: Kiwi fruit">
309
289
136
118
108
98
92
82
40
37
32.4
32 Mount/Shelvey/Rice/Noble
129
87
42
Now we create our wonder team, + bench/C/VC:
Pope 170 (v +22)
Lundstram 144
Baldock 142
Egan 133
KDB 251 © (+251)
Martial 200
Grealish 149
Mount 137
Ings 198
Ayew 132
Maupay 131
-
Martin (0)
Traore (55)
Dunk (38)
Soyuncu (8)
We& #39;ve amassed 2161pts
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="👊" title="Fisted hand" aria-label="Emoji: Fisted hand">, surely winning... oh
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="😬" title="Grimasse schneidendes Gesicht" aria-label="Emoji: Grimasse schneidendes Gesicht">
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="📉" title="Tabelle mit Abwärtstrend" aria-label="Emoji: Tabelle mit Abwärtstrend">
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🥝" title="Kiwi fruit" aria-label="Emoji: Kiwi fruit">
Pope 170 (v +22)
Lundstram 144
Baldock 142
Egan 133
KDB 251 © (+251)
Martial 200
Grealish 149
Mount 137
Ings 198
Ayew 132
Maupay 131
-
Martin (0)
Traore (55)
Dunk (38)
Soyuncu (8)
We& #39;ve amassed 2161pts
Above courtesy of @EricDFreeman & @FPL_Defender
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="☝️" title="Zeigefinger nach oben" aria-label="Emoji: Zeigefinger nach oben">:
https://twitter.com/EricDFreeman/status/1287518781166714880?s=19
https://twitter.com/EricDFree... href=" https://twitter.com/FPL_Defender/status/1287690118028046337?s=19
What">https://twitter.com/FPL_Defen... happened? Well, we only spent £81.5m
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🏦" title="Bank" aria-label="Emoji: Bank">. Despite the "fix", cheap players still dominate EPpm
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="📊" title="Balkendiagramm" aria-label="Emoji: Balkendiagramm">. This exposes a 2nd flaw:
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🚨" title="Polizeiautos mit drehendem Licht" aria-label="Emoji: Polizeiautos mit drehendem Licht">Points do not increase linearly with price.
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🚨" title="Polizeiautos mit drehendem Licht" aria-label="Emoji: Polizeiautos mit drehendem Licht">
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🥝" title="Kiwi fruit" aria-label="Emoji: Kiwi fruit">
https://twitter.com/EricDFreeman/status/1287518781166714880?s=19
https://twitter.com/EricDFree... href=" https://twitter.com/FPL_Defender/status/1287690118028046337?s=19
What">https://twitter.com/FPL_Defen... happened? Well, we only spent £81.5m
The fundamental idea
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="💡" title="Elektrische Glühbirne" aria-label="Emoji: Elektrische Glühbirne"> in ppm is points increase linearly with price. No matter when, if you ever do points
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="➗" title="Dickes Divisionszeichen" aria-label="Emoji: Dickes Divisionszeichen">price & expect a constant K, then you are drawing a line on the points vs price chart with gradient K
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="📈" title="Tabelle mit Aufwärtstrend" aria-label="Emoji: Tabelle mit Aufwärtstrend">.
Top players from the last 2 seasons show this flaw below
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="👇" title="Rückhand Zeigefinger nach unten" aria-label="Emoji: Rückhand Zeigefinger nach unten">
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🥝" title="Kiwi fruit" aria-label="Emoji: Kiwi fruit">:
Top players from the last 2 seasons show this flaw below
Price per million is hard to fix because it relies on this flaw, and that& #39;s before we even get on to captaincy & bench players
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🤯" title="Explodierender Kopf" aria-label="Emoji: Explodierender Kopf">.
So how can you know which players represent the best value
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="💸" title="Geld mit Flügeln" aria-label="Emoji: Geld mit Flügeln">
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🤔" title="Denkendes Gesicht" aria-label="Emoji: Denkendes Gesicht">?
I would argue that it might be helpful to think about it differently
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🧐" title="Gesicht mit Monokel" aria-label="Emoji: Gesicht mit Monokel">
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🥝" title="Kiwi fruit" aria-label="Emoji: Kiwi fruit">:
So how can you know which players represent the best value
I would argue that it might be helpful to think about it differently
The best value 1-2 players per position are usually easy to spot anyway
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="👀" title="Augen" aria-label="Emoji: Augen"> - you don& #39;t need a complex metric to put Pope, TAA, Lundstram, KDB, Martial, Ings, Jimenez in your team
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🤷♂️" title="Achselzuckender Mann" aria-label="Emoji: Achselzuckender Mann">.
To fill the rest, I recommend first creating a gut feel team. You have to start somewhere!
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🥝" title="Kiwi fruit" aria-label="Emoji: Kiwi fruit">
To fill the rest, I recommend first creating a gut feel team. You have to start somewhere!
Then take groups of 2-3 players and try replacing them with different combinations
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔁" title="Nach rechts und links zeigende Pfeile in offenem Kreis im Uhrzeigersinn" aria-label="Emoji: Nach rechts und links zeigende Pfeile in offenem Kreis im Uhrzeigersinn">. Comparing these will truly tell you which potential team is best, instead of estimating with some fancy metric
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔢" title="Eingabesymbol für Ziffern" aria-label="Emoji: Eingabesymbol für Ziffern">
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🤷♂️" title="Achselzuckender Mann" aria-label="Emoji: Achselzuckender Mann">.
For example, if you want to know whether Aubameyang is worth £11m
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔫" title="Wasserpistole" aria-label="Emoji: Wasserpistole">
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="💰" title="Geldsack" aria-label="Emoji: Geldsack">
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="👇" title="Rückhand Zeigefinger nach unten" aria-label="Emoji: Rückhand Zeigefinger nach unten">:
For example, if you want to know whether Aubameyang is worth £11m
Simply compare a combination of Auba + 1-2 others with another combo that spreads your money differently
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="💷" title="Banknote mit Pfund-Zeichen" aria-label="Emoji: Banknote mit Pfund-Zeichen">
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔛" title=""On" mit Ausrufezeichen mit nach links und rechts zeigendem Pfeil darüber" aria-label="Emoji: "On" mit Ausrufezeichen mit nach links und rechts zeigendem Pfeil darüber">.
Worried that a couple of better MIDs will give better value
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="👛" title="Geldbörse" aria-label="Emoji: Geldbörse">? Just test it! Get a conclusive answer rather than a guess
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="✔️" title="Fettes Häkchen" aria-label="Emoji: Fettes Häkchen">
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="👊" title="Fisted hand" aria-label="Emoji: Fisted hand">.
This idea is explained well here
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="👇" title="Rückhand Zeigefinger nach unten" aria-label="Emoji: Rückhand Zeigefinger nach unten">
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🥝" title="Kiwi fruit" aria-label="Emoji: Kiwi fruit">:
Worried that a couple of better MIDs will give better value
This idea is explained well here
https://twitter.com/FPL__Raptor/status/1286615499376340998?s=19">https://twitter.com/FPL__Rapt...
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔥" title="Feuer" aria-label="Emoji: Feuer"> thread by @FPL__Raptor
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🦖" title="T-Rex" aria-label="Emoji: T-Rex">
If you don& #39;t know where to begin (but you do use FPL twitter
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🐦" title="Vogel" aria-label="Emoji: Vogel">), by all means check out differential & value threads
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🗣️" title="Silhouette eines sprechenden Kopfes" aria-label="Emoji: Silhouette eines sprechenden Kopfes">
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="⚽" title="Fußball" aria-label="Emoji: Fußball"> - just don& #39;t use ppm alone as it really does not make sense.
Thanks for reading!
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🤓" title="Nerd-Gesicht" aria-label="Emoji: Nerd-Gesicht">
Kiwi out
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🎤" title="Mikrofon" aria-label="Emoji: Mikrofon">
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="👊" title="Fisted hand" aria-label="Emoji: Fisted hand">
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🥝" title="Kiwi fruit" aria-label="Emoji: Kiwi fruit">
If you don& #39;t know where to begin (but you do use FPL twitter
Thanks for reading!
Kiwi out
PS:
With this included, this is the longest thread you can tweet in one go (25 tweets)
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="😮" title="Gesicht mit offenem Mund" aria-label="Emoji: Gesicht mit offenem Mund">!
Some accounts who (based on a quick search) might find this interesting
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🧠" title="Gehirn" aria-label="Emoji: Gehirn">: @FactsFpl @Prem_Tipster @FPLChurch @allaboutfpl @FFH_HQ @FPLTIPZ @fplreview
Feel free to discuss below
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="👇" title="Rückhand Zeigefinger nach unten" aria-label="Emoji: Rückhand Zeigefinger nach unten">
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🥝" title="Kiwi fruit" aria-label="Emoji: Kiwi fruit">...
With this included, this is the longest thread you can tweet in one go (25 tweets)
Some accounts who (based on a quick search) might find this interesting
Feel free to discuss below
This has had such an amazing response - thank you to everyone in the #FPLCommunity for your kind words
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🗣️" title="Silhouette eines sprechenden Kopfes" aria-label="Emoji: Silhouette eines sprechenden Kopfes">, likes
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="❤️" title="Rotes Herz" aria-label="Emoji: Rotes Herz">, RTs
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🔁" title="Nach rechts und links zeigende Pfeile in offenem Kreis im Uhrzeigersinn" aria-label="Emoji: Nach rechts und links zeigende Pfeile in offenem Kreis im Uhrzeigersinn"> and mostly just bothering to read it at all
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="📖" title="Offenes Buch" aria-label="Emoji: Offenes Buch">
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🤗" title="Umarmendes Gesicht" aria-label="Emoji: Umarmendes Gesicht">
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🙏" title="Folded hands" aria-label="Emoji: Folded hands">!
I& #39;ve been blown away by the support
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="💨" title="Staubwolke" aria-label="Emoji: Staubwolke"> for me, for this, and for each other
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🤝" title="Handschlag" aria-label="Emoji: Handschlag">. Thank you everyone!
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🥝" title="Kiwi fruit" aria-label="Emoji: Kiwi fruit">
I& #39;ve been blown away by the support