This is outrageous - an RCT cutting off water to tenants in Nairobi "slums" to see if it induces their landlords to pay the utility bill. And reading the paper just makes it worse.
(1/9)

https://www.nber.org/papers/w27569 ">https://www.nber.org/papers/w2...
One issue common for RCTs in poor countries-
no informed consent. To me this is always serious, but sometimes people justify w/ experiment "does no harm" & allows potentially nb benefits for targeted population. In this case? *Massive* harms & completely unclear benefits

(2/9)
*Landlord* arrears of as little as $25 for one month mean *tenants* face water cut-off. Authors say *9 months* after the disconnection, many/most (unclear, & number not given) were reconnected. As if this is not so bad? Poor families with no water, some for >9 months.
(3/9)
And to learn what? That cutting off water induces landlords to pay bills? Uh, duh? They sell contribution as cut-offs not inducing "community activism", but every reason to think this result won& #39;t scale when you move from 97 randomly selected "compounds" to official policy
(4/9)
Also: "community activism" is basically made synonymous with "political costs", ie people protesting water cut-offs. Lack of "political costs" is portrayed as a good outcome. So we should be happy about lack of democratic engagement from tenants having services cut off?
(5/9)
How would authors feel re "community activism" in Joseph v City of Johannesburg where cutting tenant electricity due to landlord arrears found unconstitutional when tenants have no chance to challenge? Experiment& #39;d be unlawful in https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="🇿🇦" title="Flagge von Südafrika" aria-label="Emoji: Flagge von Südafrika"> on this basis btw (6/9) http://www.saflii.org/za/cases/ZACC/2009/30.html">https://www.saflii.org/za/cases/...
I suspect they& #39;d think the SA Constitutional Court judgment was indeed undesirable: they seem skeptical of "positive" socioeconomic rights. They can hold whatever view they want, but their one-sentence hand-wave at this Q does nothing to allay the serious ethical concerns (7/9)
I used to be methodologically opposed to RCTs of all kinds. No longer, as I& #39;ve found genuine insights from some & "gold std" claims seem to have waned. Just another empirical method. But ethical issues are generally serious (often under-considered) & this case is grotesque
(8/9)
I.m.o practitioners & those in favour of development RCTs on #EconTwitter need to speak up clearly about egregious interventions like this.

The idea of even one family being cut off from water in a Nairobi "slum" in order to produce this paper is horrific to me (9/9)
UPDATE (1/11):
a) this thread got way more attention than anticipated & I can& #39;t keep up with replies/comments. Apologies
b) MORE IMPORTANTLY: the authors have issued a statement which may have a substantive impact on how one evaluates the ethical issues: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1nVGR4qlhWt2EcNiy6d02By3e4kptVSer/view">https://drive.google.com/file/d/1n...
2/11
A few new points I think relevant, per authors:
- Nairobi City Water & Sewerage Company asked for World Bank help in addressing non-payment
- NCWSC was *considering* increased "slum" disconnections itself, & researchers discussed doing a smaller pilot study first with them
3/11
- The Q of whether researcher involvement *reduced* cut-offs compared to counterfactual is still unclear to me, as discussed below
- ALSO, they welcome the discussion about ethics & recognise they should revise the paper to include thorough discussion of this & the context
4/11
What to make of this? For some people this will significantly allay the ethical concerns. For others this won& #39;t do anything. For me the new info affects my evaluation but very serious concerns remain and I would like more info:
5/11
I& #39;d like more on whether NCWSC would& #39;ve implemented cut-offs w/out researcher involvement. 1) They may have stated intent, but actually doing so, worrying about "political costs", may be another story. Researchers can provide legitimacy/impetus to unpopular local actions
6/11
More directly, 2): differences between v1 & v2 of researchers& #39; statement make it unclear to me whether researcher involvement did actually *reduce* cut-offs, as v1 claimed. I appreciate authors& #39; efforts to revise & be precise, but does leave me unsure about what happened
7/11 Btw, I also don& #39;t think "it would have happened anyway" automatically resolves ethical concerns about researchers being involved in this kind of thing. This evocative example from @graykimbrough may help illustrate this for some people https://twitter.com/graykimbrough/status/1292154950169104385">https://twitter.com/graykimbr...
8/11
Regardless of this & NCWSC norms, I still think unethical to be part of project where tenants not given chance to challenge cut-offs from landlord arrears. Others may disagree, but based on experiences working @SERI_RightsSA & logic of Joseph v City of JHB, I think unjust
9/11
This relates to inadequate consideration of ethical implications of rights. NCWSC has problem: landlords don& #39;t pay. Here& #39;s "solution" to get payment: cut tenants& #39; water. But tenants are people, not just policy levers. Imo bad (if normal in econ) not to discuss this properly
10/11
In general, that these ethical issues & context were not in main paper is indicative of broader problem. I don& #39;t know exact vetting process for NBER papers, but it is shocking to me that it was presumably vetted in some way (even informally) & these issues weren& #39;t raised
11/11
I& #39;m glad the researchers plan to revise paper to include greater discussion of these issues, & also that they welcome public discussion. I& #39;d like more info on what would& #39;ve happened w/out researcher involvement, but even if they did reduce cutoffs, for me some issues remain
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