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Study gives better estimates of the number of COVID19 deaths and the number of deaths due to lowered healthcare during lockdowns. https://www.lboro.ac.uk/news-events/news/2020/july/new-approach-to-recording-covid-deaths/
Study gives better estimates of the number of COVID19 deaths and the number of deaths due to lowered healthcare during lockdowns. https://www.lboro.ac.uk/news-events/news/2020/july/new-approach-to-recording-covid-deaths/
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“The authors have used statistical techniques to better identify deaths due to COVID, applying the excess death framework more robustly and controlling for other factors that affect mortality. The key findings are as follows:“
“The authors have used statistical techniques to better identify deaths due to COVID, applying the excess death framework more robustly and controlling for other factors that affect mortality. The key findings are as follows:“
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“Actual deaths due to COVID are some 54% or 63% lower than implied by the standard excess deaths measure, and reported excess deaths likely include a significant number of non-COVID deaths.”
“Actual deaths due to COVID are some 54% or 63% lower than implied by the standard excess deaths measure, and reported excess deaths likely include a significant number of non-COVID deaths.”
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“While it is well known that COVID deaths are concentrated in the elderly, the study finds them to be particularly acute in the very elderly (75-84 and 85+ years old).“
“While it is well known that COVID deaths are concentrated in the elderly, the study finds them to be particularly acute in the very elderly (75-84 and 85+ years old).“
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“Over the lockdown period as a whole Government policy has increased mortality rather than reduced it.“
“Over the lockdown period as a whole Government policy has increased mortality rather than reduced it.“
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“the initiative was always intended to ‘flatten the curve’ (delaying the spread to avoid overburdening the NHS) and not necessarily to lower mortality rates.”
“the initiative was always intended to ‘flatten the curve’ (delaying the spread to avoid overburdening the NHS) and not necessarily to lower mortality rates.”
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“the overall increase in mortality is a result of significant unintended consequences of the lockdown, for example, reduced A and E attendances and reduced cancer and cardiac treatments.”
“the overall increase in mortality is a result of significant unintended consequences of the lockdown, for example, reduced A and E attendances and reduced cancer and cardiac treatments.”
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“This study raises questions not simply about the efficacy of the blanket lockdown response, but also whether Government communications to encourage public compliance have inadvertently driven other, more harmful, behaviours.”
“This study raises questions not simply about the efficacy of the blanket lockdown response, but also whether Government communications to encourage public compliance have inadvertently driven other, more harmful, behaviours.”
So...
~ Lockdowns are ineffective at reducing cases https://twitter.com/MarkChangizi/status/1286418497011101697?s=20
~ Lockdowns are ineffective at reducing cases https://twitter.com/MarkChangizi/status/1286418497011101697?s=20
~ And, in addition to acutely causing excess deaths (this thread), the lockdown-induced economic devastation worldwide will lead, longer term, to tens of millions of lost livelihoods and millions of deaths. https://twitter.com/MarkChangizi/status/1290411287424507906?s=20
And don’t even get me started on the dangers of masks. https://twitter.com/MarkChangizi/status/1288578534722744320?s=20
How could these obviously-bad-for-is things suddenly be treated as obviously-good-for-us?
Infection-induced fear radically warped our priors, and altered how we rationally behave. https://twitter.com/MarkChangizi/status/1285177755114639367?s=20
Infection-induced fear radically warped our priors, and altered how we rationally behave. https://twitter.com/MarkChangizi/status/1285177755114639367?s=20
The most dangerous part of all this isn’t lockdowns, masks, etc., but the underlying cause: a sort of mass psychosis, a religious zeal, a righteous new safety revolution filled with righteous moral outrage, one that may be with us for a long time. https://twitter.com/MarkChangizi/status/1262563116526821376?s=20
