Just went through the latest Vice President horse race polling from @YouGov . Elizabeth Warren over performing with key constituents is not a myth. Nor is her popularity. She really does shore up his support where he needs it. I'll share my takeaways in this thread 👇🏼
Warren has 10 points higher favorability among Black voters than Kamala Harris, who has a lower favorability among Black voters than poorly known Stacey Abrams.
Warren's favorability among Dems is +32 strongly favored, +34 somewhat favored (+66 altogether). Harris is +24 strongly favored, +40 somewhat favored (+64 altogether). Similar favorabilities, but comparing "strongly" numbers shows Harris has shallower support.
The only candidates who do better in the VP horse race poll with Black voters are Keisha Lance Bottoms and Stacey Abrams. Harris performs the same with Black and White voters, as does Warren. Duckworth, Whitmer, and Rice all perform worse with Black voters than White voters.
Harris, Warren, and Duckworth perform disproportionately well with Hispanic voters. Everyone else polls worse with Hispanics, including Rice.
Warren is the only candidate who overperforms with young voters. Everyone else polls similarly across the board, or slightly worse with young voters.
Warren performs extra strongly with highly educated voters/weakly with low education voters. Whitmer the opposite. Everyone else shows similar numbers across education levels.
Those who say the VP pick could change their voting decision are disproportionately highly educated. Race data is less clear, but it seems Black and White voters are mostly locked in and VP choice won't change their mind.
Everyone checking this thread out, check out my blog post analyzing the race for vice president as well! I rank the candidates based on the strength they could add to the ticket. I think you'll like it :) https://politeratielections.blogspot.com/2020/07/veepstakes-overview-ranking-bidens-vice.html
You can follow @anthonyoneil_.
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