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Welcome to the next in our #AcademicintheSpotlight series that promotes social scientists doing innovative & dynamic research that you really ought to be aware of.
This week is the turn of Thomas Sampson @thom_sampson, who works on trade, Brexit & the UK economy.
This week is the turn of Thomas Sampson @thom_sampson, who works on trade, Brexit & the UK economy.
First, watch this video and find out about his work. 
@ESRC | @UKRI_News | @BritishAcademy_ | @CfScocialScience | @AcadSocSciences | @socscispace | @NIESRorg | @britsoci | @LSEnews | @LSEImpactBlog | @LSE | @LSEEcon | @CEP_LSE
@ESRC | @UKRI_News | @BritishAcademy_ | @CfScocialScience | @AcadSocSciences | @socscispace | @NIESRorg | @britsoci | @LSEnews | @LSEImpactBlog | @LSE | @LSEEcon | @CEP_LSE
Thomas started studying the economic effects of leaving the European Union with @CEP_LSE colleagues back in 2014.
Their first forecast explored how changes in trade barriers would affect UK productivity and income levels.
http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/57958/1/__lse.ac.uk_storage_LIBRARY_Secondary_libfile_shared_repository_Content_Centre_for_Economic_Performance_Policy%20Analysis_pa016.pdf
Their first forecast explored how changes in trade barriers would affect UK productivity and income levels.
http://eprints.lse.ac.uk/57958/1/__lse.ac.uk_storage_LIBRARY_Secondary_libfile_shared_repository_Content_Centre_for_Economic_Performance_Policy%20Analysis_pa016.pdf
Thomas has worked with us to produce influential forecasts of the economic implications of both Boris Johnson & Theresa May’s Brexit deals.
Within a fortnight, this analysis of the economic impact of Johnson’s withdrawal agreement was cited on 8 separate occasions during debates in the UK Parliament.
https://ukandeu.ac.uk/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/The-economic-impact-of-Boris-Johnsons-Brexit-proposals.pdf
https://ukandeu.ac.uk/wp-content/uploads/2019/10/The-economic-impact-of-Boris-Johnsons-Brexit-proposals.pdf
The analysis found that Johnson’s proposals for a free trade agreement with the EU would be substantially more damaging in the long run than May’s deal, although less costly than an exit on WTO terms.
Thomas also studies the ongoing economic effects of Brexit.
He found that the decline in sterling after the referendum increased consumer prices by around 2.9% m, which equates to an ÂŁ870 pound per year increase in the cost of living for the average household.
http://personal.lse.ac.uk/sampsont/XRatePrices.pdf
http://personal.lse.ac.uk/sampsont/XRatePrices.pdf
In this thread, Thomas summarises research on how the Brexit vote has affected the UK economy so far: https://twitter.com/thom_sampson/status/1274956533525295119
Read more about @thom_sampson’s work and his plans for exploring how UK firms adjust to the twin shocks of Covid-19 and new trade barriers with the EU. https://ukandeu.ac.uk/international-trade-and-brexit-thomas-sampson/
