Thread

More circumstantial evidence that the explosion in the Beirut port was deliberate.

Here's my first thread. https://twitter.com/COsweda/status/1290748019218853890
My second thread. https://twitter.com/COsweda/status/1290776857357344768
The grain silos next the the warehouse that contained what I think was octogen or HMX rocket fuel are still standing, despite being damaged.
These silos contain Lebanon's strategic grain reserves.

That's why the Iranians put their missiles beside it.

BUT.

The silos were virtually empty.
"It is believed the silos did not contain huge quantities of grain at the time of the explosion, as the country tried to meet a shortage of bread that surfaced recently."
"Lebanon, which is in the midst of a financial crisis, has to depend on wheat imports to secure food supplies, as domestic production covers only 10% of the country's consumption."
"Wheat accounts for more than 80% of Lebanon's agriculture imports, followed by corn and barley. Most of the wheat enters through the terminal that took the hit."

https://www.spglobal.com/platts/en/market-insights/latest-news/agriculture/080420-explosion-at-port-of-beirut-damages-grain-silos-terminal-reports
So the right time to destroy the missile depot would be when the strategic grain reserves had already been used, and the country was consuming as much as it was importing.

The Lebanese are lying about ammonium nitrate being taken from a sinking ship 12 years ago.
What actually happened was that in 2013 or 2014--not 2008--the MV Rhosus for unknown reasons entered the port of Beirut with a cargo of "explosives."

The Search Port State Control (PSC) of the International Maritime Organization (IMO) deemed the ship to be not seaworthy.
The fact that the Lebanese are lying about what exploded proves that SOMETHING ELSE exploded.

Lebanon is on the verge of becoming a failed state.

There's absolutely no way that the Lebanese government would hold on to FREE fertilizer and not distribute it to farmers.
How much of that was ammonium nitrate?

Check THIS out:
AH!

It was 2750 TONS OF AMMONIUM NITRATE.

Yeah, if that much AN went off, the whole area would be flattened.

It was an Iranian missile depot. First the warheads were destroyed, and then the HMX (octogen) rocket fuel was destroyed in two batches.
So far I've seen INDIVIDUAL buildings destroyed, with the ones on either side intact.

They're all built the same way, so it looks as though these were targeted.
Multiple Gulf Arab countries have astonishing capabilities.

They carried out the largest amphibious landing in the history of the Middle East, totally undetected.
(Those are Emirati Leclerc main battle tanks and BMP-3 infantry fighting vehicles.)
The Houthis created a minefield FIVE MILES DEEP south of Taiz.

They created concrete fighting posts with antitank missiles and antitank rockets.

They surrounded Taiz with heavy artillery and threatened to bombard it if an invasion was attempted.
On August 5, 2015, all the crews of all the guns surrounding Taiz were killed simultaneously, and Yemeni forces appeared in the city center.

Nobody knows how they got there. No aircraft were seen.

If they crossed the five-mile-wide minefield, they did it in 90 minutes.
Among the celebrating militiamen were quiet men who resolutely looked away from the camera or covered their faces.

Look at the tall, skinny guy on the left, and then the man in the background drinking from a plastic bottle.
The Gulf Arabs keep all of their advanced capabilities secret.

@realDonaldTrump and @VP Pence are the only western leaders ever briefed on full Saudi military capabilities.

The Saudis did this so that Trump would understand their actions.
The reasons the Saudis gave Trump such a massive welcome is that he agreed to change our policy.

Now, we only HELP, and only when asked.

No more wars.

So what about targeting terrorist weapon depots and commanders' houses in residential areas?
Customary International Humanitarian Law and the Geneva Conventions both state that it is UNLAWFUL to put weapons and commanders' posts in civilian areas.

AND.

Causing collateral damage is NOT a war crime.
"Article 51(5)(b) of the 1977 Additional Protocol I prohibits
an attack which may be expected to cause incidental loss of civilian life, injury to civilians, damage to civilian objects, or a combination thereof..."
"...which would be excessive in relation to the concrete and direct military advantage anticipated."

https://ihl-databases.icrc.org/customary-ihl/eng/docs/v2_rul_rule14
This is the SECOND key restriction:

"Under Article 85(3)(b) of the 1977 Additional Protocol I, 'launching an indiscriminate attack affecting the civilian population or civilian objects in the knowledge..."
"...that such attack will cause excessive loss of life, injury to civilians or damage to civilian objects, as defined in Article 57, paragraph 2 a) iii) is a grave breach."
Incidental civilian loss of life is allowed as long as it's PROPORTIONAL.

indiscriminate attacks on civilians on prohibited.

The Iranian missile were destroyed in an effort to prevent another 2006 Israelis-Hezbollah War.
It was a catastrophe for both Lebanon AND Israel.

That was created the MYTH of Hezbollah as a regional superpower.

It also wiped out the Lebanese opposition to Hezbollah, and damaged Israel's reputation--unfairly--worldwide.
The destruction of the Iranian missile depot was necessary.

Superhuman efforts were made to spare civilians.

The Lebanese cover story is a transparent lie, but Lebanon is under the thumb of Hezbollah and Iran.

What you should be thinking about is THIS:
Another goddam war avoided.

Many MANY thousands of lives saved.

And THAT is a good thing.

END
You can follow @COsweda.
Tip: mention @twtextapp on a Twitter thread with the keyword “unroll” to get a link to it.

Latest Threads Unrolled: