The problem is that if your & #39;national standards& #39; already produce results that are grotesquely unequal, a statistical model designed to maintain those standards will also be grotesquely unequal. #SQAResults
Unless I am reading it wrong, historical school data is the ONLY thing that has been used to adjust grades.

This was never set out as the plan.

https://www.sqa.org.uk/sqa/files_ccc/SQAAwardingMethodology2020Report.pdf">https://www.sqa.org.uk/sqa/files...
The SQA used a twenty-three year old study as its only(!?) evidence for the rank ordering system it used.

A system where teachers had to predict student performance to within two percentage points.
Standardised Assessments were - in part - used to determine students in 4th years prior performance. @IainGrayMSP @Ross_Greer
Here is the scandal.

If your school had no historical data, your teachers& #39; estimates were just accepted. Astonishing.
@Emma_Seith - who you should be following - got there first. Sorry Emma! https://twitter.com/Emma_Seith/status/1290579228577202176?s=20">https://twitter.com/Emma_Seit...
The SQA told @SP_EduSkills in May that they would & #39;undertake a moderation exercise nationally, using a range of data, discussion and review.& #39;

But all they have used is historical attainment data.
Here it is.

Poorest pupils Higher pass rate reduced by 15.2% between teacher estimate and statistical moderation.

Richest pupils rate reduced by just 6.9%.
Poorest young people downgraded from a *pass* to a *fail* at Higher at over twice the rate of their most affluent peers.

Predominantly based on their schools& #39; prior performance.
Source is the SQA& #39;s Equality Impact Assessment.
https://www.sqa.org.uk/sqa/files_ccc/2020-sqa-alternative-certification-model-equality-impact-assessment.pdf">https://www.sqa.org.uk/sqa/files...
https://twitter.com/mgshanks/status/1290607333136097280?s=20">https://twitter.com/mgshanks/...
Some very important and good context on this given from The First Minister and Education Secretary at the daily press briefing today. Worth a watch.

https://twitter.com/scotgov/status/1290607193163735040?s=21">https://twitter.com/scotgov/s... https://twitter.com/scotgov/status/1290607193163735040">https://twitter.com/scotgov/s...
https://twitter.com/NicholasTroop/status/1290618180986122242?s=20">https://twitter.com/NicholasT...
Thanks to @BBCRadioScot for having me on to talk about these statistics and the appeals process that is to follow. #LunchtimeLive

You can listen here - https://gla-my.sharepoint.com/:v:/g/personal/b_black_1_research_gla_ac_uk/EdMnzfW3AKlMlbwxsSzrdc8B336IayJwwFNAJUNcR7zuwA?e=gCAmA4">https://gla-my.sharepoint.com/:v:/g/per...
You can follow @BarryBlackNE.
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