Read on Twitter
Alright, here's a for fun scenario, what I think the 2022 U.S. Senate elections have in store under both possible presidencies! #ElectionTwitter
Here is what I think the Senate will look like based on my predictions from 2 days ago.
This is obviously subject to change, but for now I'm using it as my launching point.
This is obviously subject to change, but for now I'm using it as my launching point.
Here are the elections I think would be up for grabs in either scenario. These are to varying degrees, but I think all 11 seats in gray would be seen as competitive under a Trump or Biden presidency.
Here is what I think the out come may be under the first term of a Biden administration.
While I think Harris is gonna be VP is this scenario, I don't think CA flips. Maybe it changes to a new Dem, but not a GOP. WI & PA are the closest imo, but given there would be backlash against the Dems, I see those states as flipping.
NC stays in GOP hads with Burr retiring. Meanwhile, Cortez Mastro (NV) & Hassan (NH) would be the most vulnerable Dems, but I think they would pull off a win with maybe NV flipping if Harry Reid isn't there. I think Kelly would be fine in AZ cus he seems moderate enough.
Here's the scenario I think would most likely occur under a second term of the Trump administration.
Right off the bat, I think AZ, NV, & NH are all safe. Having Trump to run against would give the inc. Dems something to run against. NC is a potential flip in my book cus the electorate there tends to vote against the inc. POTUS. But I could see it remaining red.
IA also probably stays GOP even if Grassley doesn't run. My guess is, like Reid, Grassley has the connections to keep the seat red even when he retires. PA & WI are the most likely to flip imo.
Johnson is retiring which would make the race competitive. So in both scenarios I gave it to the opposition b/c I think they have the edge. PA most likely would flip cus they would be tired of Trump by this point. Considering PA has seen a resurgent Dem under Trump.
