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Alright, here& #39;s a for fun scenario, what I think the 2022 U.S. Senate elections have in store under both possible presidencies! #ElectionTwitter
Here is what I think the Senate will look like based on my predictions from 2 days ago.
This is obviously subject to change, but for now I& #39;m using it as my launching point.
This is obviously subject to change, but for now I& #39;m using it as my launching point.
Here are the elections I think would be up for grabs in either scenario. These are to varying degrees, but I think all 11 seats in gray would be seen as competitive under a Trump or Biden presidency.
Here is what I think the out come may be under the first term of a Biden administration.
While I think Harris is gonna be VP is this scenario, I don& #39;t think CA flips. Maybe it changes to a new Dem, but not a GOP. WI & PA are the closest imo, but given there would be backlash against the Dems, I see those states as flipping.
NC stays in GOP hads with Burr retiring. Meanwhile, Cortez Mastro (NV) & Hassan (NH) would be the most vulnerable Dems, but I think they would pull off a win with maybe NV flipping if Harry Reid isn& #39;t there. I think Kelly would be fine in AZ cus he seems moderate enough.
Here& #39;s the scenario I think would most likely occur under a second term of the Trump administration.
Right off the bat, I think AZ, NV, & NH are all safe. Having Trump to run against would give the inc. Dems something to run against. NC is a potential flip in my book cus the electorate there tends to vote against the inc. POTUS. But I could see it remaining red.
IA also probably stays GOP even if Grassley doesn& #39;t run. My guess is, like Reid, Grassley has the connections to keep the seat red even when he retires. PA & WI are the most likely to flip imo.
Johnson is retiring which would make the race competitive. So in both scenarios I gave it to the opposition b/c I think they have the edge. PA most likely would flip cus they would be tired of Trump by this point. Considering PA has seen a resurgent Dem under Trump.
