We’re now 4 weeks on from hospitality reopening in England & hospital admissions are still going down. Figures for most recent days seem to be slightly corrected upwards in following days but they’re staying low https://coronavirus-staging.data.gov.uk/healthcare?areaType=nation&areaName=England

If argument younger people are boosting transmission through social contact out of the home is correct (not seen any evidence for it) they aren’t passing it on to those most at risk of hospitalisation. 4 weeks is plenty long enough for a spike to feed through.

Most likely explanation is hospitality reopening has not, as yet, caused a spike. It hasn’t in multiple other European countries either who reopened earlier. Fact it might have in the US shouldn’t be taken as a certainty it will here.

Incidentally, youngest adults led the age groups in antibody rates in early stages of testing so we know young people played a key role in early transmission & resultant spike. If they are being infected now & not causing same we must be doing some other things right.

But as I say, I’ve not seen any evidence to support idea younger people getting infected in hospitality settings leading increased cases https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/906073/Weekly_COVID19_Surveillance_Report_week_31_FINAL_V2.pdf