[Thread] The autocratic President of #Serbia Vucic threatens today again using racist language: "If Prishtina is not calmed down by its mentors, we& #39;ll be five times more successful in campaign to get them derecognized". He also referred to some "peaceful & armed provocations" 1.
In the latest outburst by Vucic, he reacted to the statements by Kosovar PM @Avdullah confirming #Kosovo will continue to seek @UN membership. Vucic claims Kosovo cannot seek membership of international organizations, or else Serbia will continue offensive against Kosovo. -3.
Which leads me to the key point: the dialogue run now by @MiroslavLajcak / @JosepBorrellF cannot continue floating in a limbo of time and space. Kosovar leadership must insist for the final political settlement to be unambiguous and immediate aim of the prompt proces. -4.
Americans were far clearer in their intentions. Both @realDonaldTrump, @SecPompeo & @RichardGrenell but also most recently @JoeBiden have made statements in recent period confirming the mutual recognition between #Kosovo & #Serbia is the final aim of dialogue. -5.
In past, EU & US seemed to also agree border demarcation may be one way to ensure we come to that aim. Many others disagreed, most vehemently Germany + number of analysts (especially those focusing on Bosnia). That idea is shelved but EU is not clear what& #39;s the new gameplan. -6.
One interesting & valid argument against border demarcation was the fear it may bring to formation of ethnic states and that ultimately it will bring about unification of #Kosovo and #Albania which will trigger separatist claims by the Serbian-controlled part of Bosnia. -7.
Yet, if EU (+/= Germany/France) after they worked hard to diminish American involvement, continue to slow down the dialogue, then Kosovo is stuck. (THE KEY POINT) On one side Kosovo& #39;s integration to international community, especially @NATO family will be delayed indefinitely -8.
On the other side, Serbia (as seen from Vucic& #39;s racist threats) will continue to threaten & do everything possible to slow down and reverse Kosovo& #39;s integration and membership into important multilaterals which help Kosovo& #39;s security, economy and even health ( @WHO membership) -9.
Such a prolonged state of affairs & tensions will inevitably lead to more tensions, potentially exasperated further by Russians or non-state actors (as legitimately feared by US Intel + @StateDept analysts already 2017/2018), which will lead to you know what? -10.
The impatience & inability of Kosovars to move on w/ their lives, blocked by both the EU& #39;s lack of consensus (as seen not only in dialogue but also the visalib) and hostile Serbia. Which will ironically give even greater contribution to calls for Albania / Kosovo confederacy. -11
Maybe this is what Serbia is looking for. A "great Albania" so it can try to dismantle Bosnia & get R.Srpska (I do have doubts it can do that without a war in which Belgrade will lose yet again). But it& #39;s what EU& #39;s inaction will produce. New ethnic tensions & formulas. -12
So, again - #Kosovo & #Serbia have had years of technical talks. We know the chapters of future agreement. We know the framework. It& #39;s either some sort of two Germanies model or a border demarcation. What we need now is CLARITY and SPEED by Germany + France + @JosepBorrellF -13.
We must have 2020/2021 the period in which agreement is reached, confirmed by the new UNSC resolution, so in September 2021 UNGA can endorse Kosovo& #39;s accession to the @UN, as Kosovar leadership & people rightfully expect. Anything else, all bets are off. -END.
You can follow @Petrit.
Tip: mention @twtextapp on a Twitter thread with the keyword “unroll” to get a link to it.

Latest Threads Unrolled: