Thread by @BryanAlexander, All right, time to look into #coronavirus updates.Things are not good in [...]

All right, time to look into #coronavirus updates.

Things are not good in many ways.

(1/n)

Here& #39;s the latest global epidemic curve from @WHO .

Notice the huge swath from the Americas ("PAHO" = Pan American Health Organization).

https://www.who.int/docs/default-source/coronaviruse/situation-reports/20200724-covid-19-sitrep-186.pdf?sfvrsn=4da7b586_2

(2/n)">https://www.who.int/docs/defa...

Also India, whose infection rates just keeps building up.

"SEARO" = Regional Office for South-East Asia
(3/n)

That national pattern is confirmed in the 91-DIVOC data by @profwade_ .

http://www.91-divoc.com/pages/covid-visualization/

(4/n)">https://www.91-divoc.com/pages/cov...

That national pattern is confirmed in the 91-DIVOC data by @profwade_ . https://www.91-divoc.com/pages/cov...

Death rates appear differently than infections.
America& #39;s deaths are rising, but more slowly than infections.

(5/n)

Overall stats?

Global infections: 15,995,114
Deaths: 643,736

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

(6/n)">https://www.worldometers.info/coronavir...

Remember than many think these official stats are seriously undercounting the reality for a variety of reasons.

Let& #39;s say they& #39;re off by a factor of five.
Estimate global infections at 79,975,570.
Deaths: 3,218,680.

(7/n)

Or try official stats being just 1/3rd of reality.

Total infections would be around 45 million and deaths closer to 2 million.

(8/n)

For some perspective, here are stats from mid-February - worldwide!

(9/n)

(Sorry - late, not mid-February)

(10/n)

Back to the present: the Americas are leading the world in #Covid_19 deaths.

@FinancialTimes graphic:

https://www.ft.com/content/a26fbf7e-48f8-11ea-aeb3-955839e06441

(11/n)">https://www.ft.com/content/a...

How& #39;s the US faring?

According to @CDCgov :

TOTAL CASES: 4,024,492

TOTAL DEATHS: 143,868

https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/cases-in-us.html

(12/n)">https://www.cdc.gov/coronavir...

Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) in the U.S.

View the number of confirmed cases COVID-19 in the United States.

https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/cases-in-us.html

That means about 1.2% of America is infected, as the US just broke 330 million people this month.

https://www.census.gov/popclock/

(13/n)">https://www.census.gov/popclock/...

Let& #39;s say reported cases and deaths are undercounted by 3.

Then we could estimate around 12 million infections and 431,604 deaths.

(14/n)

If we break infections down by state, the big 3 are still very high: California, Texas, Florida.

Source: http://www.91-divoc.com/pages/covid-visualization/

(15/n)">https://www.91-divoc.com/pages/cov...

If we break infections down by state, the big 3 are still very high: California, Texas, Florida.Source: https://www.91-divoc.com/pages/cov...

Death rates by state show a similar bad picture:

(16/n)

@COVID19Tracking has a good thread on the unevenness of US data:

https://twitter.com/COVID19Tracking/status/1286793355742126080

(17/n)">https://twitter.com/COVID19Tr...

https://twitter.com/COVID19Tracking/status/1286793355742126080

We can zoom in a bit and look at #Covid_19 data by county, thanks to the @nytimes (is nobody else doing this?)

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/us/coronavirus-us-cases.html?action=click&pgtype=Article&state=default&module=styln-coronavirus&region=TOP_BANNER&context=storylines_menu

(18/n)">https://www.nytimes.com/interacti...

The NYT also slices this by per-capita infections, which looks fairly similar:

(19/n)

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