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1/11 #GW38 Fixture Analysis
In this thread, I will construct the expected goals figure for each team for GW38 based on the expected goals (xG) and expected goals conceded (xGC) since the restart (GW30 to GW37).
Like and RTs are much appreciated :)
#FPL
In this thread, I will construct the expected goals figure for each team for GW38 based on the expected goals (xG) and expected goals conceded (xGC) since the restart (GW30 to GW37).
Like and RTs are much appreciated :)
#FPL
2/11 #GW38 Fixture Analysis
Table 1: Expected Goals (xG) and Expected Goals Conceded (xGC) from GW30+ to GW37+.
Source: @FFScout members area
#FPL
Table 1: Expected Goals (xG) and Expected Goals Conceded (xGC) from GW30+ to GW37+.
Source: @FFScout members area
#FPL
3/11 Expected goals for #GW38
Example: ARS v WAT
ARS xG/game (GW30-37)=1.00
WAT xGC/game (GW30-37)=1.56
ARS GW38 xG=average(ARS xG/game, WAT xGC/game)=1.28
WAT xG per game (GW30-37)=1.18
ARS xGC per game(GW30-GW37)=1.33
WAT GW38 xG=average(WAT xG/game, ARS xGC/game)=1.25
#FPL
Example: ARS v WAT
ARS xG/game (GW30-37)=1.00
WAT xGC/game (GW30-37)=1.56
ARS GW38 xG=average(ARS xG/game, WAT xGC/game)=1.28
WAT xG per game (GW30-37)=1.18
ARS xGC per game(GW30-GW37)=1.33
WAT GW38 xG=average(WAT xG/game, ARS xGC/game)=1.25
#FPL
4/11 #GW38 Fixture Analysis
Arsenal is unlikely to smash Watford given the xG figures & the fact it is a must-win game for Watford. I wouldn’t expect too much from Auba and Laca. The stats suggest Kane would be a better option against an injury-filled Crystal Palace.
#FPL
Arsenal is unlikely to smash Watford given the xG figures & the fact it is a must-win game for Watford. I wouldn’t expect too much from Auba and Laca. The stats suggest Kane would be a better option against an injury-filled Crystal Palace.
#FPL
5/11 #GW38 Fixture Analysis
Seen many FH teams double or even tripling up on the BUR defense. A viable strategy given the low cost & low ownership of players along with Pope going for the golden glove. However, there are THREE teams with lower xGC in GW38 – MCI, TOT, SOU.
#FPL
Seen many FH teams double or even tripling up on the BUR defense. A viable strategy given the low cost & low ownership of players along with Pope going for the golden glove. However, there are THREE teams with lower xGC in GW38 – MCI, TOT, SOU.
#FPL
6/11 #GW38 Fixture Analysis
Aurier looks like a great option this week with Spurs having the 2nd best xGC behind MCI. If you are looking for differentials, look at the SOU defense with the likes of Stephens and Bertrand. Low cost and very low ownership if you are chasing.
#FPL
Aurier looks like a great option this week with Spurs having the 2nd best xGC behind MCI. If you are looking for differentials, look at the SOU defense with the likes of Stephens and Bertrand. Low cost and very low ownership if you are chasing.
#FPL
7/11 #GW38 Fixture Analysis
Speaking of Southampton, they have the 3rd highest expected goals for GW38 behind MCI and LIV. With Danny Ings eyeing up the Golden Boot, he should definitely be considered for one of your attacking slots at just 7.6m.
#FPL
Speaking of Southampton, they have the 3rd highest expected goals for GW38 behind MCI and LIV. With Danny Ings eyeing up the Golden Boot, he should definitely be considered for one of your attacking slots at just 7.6m.
#FPL
8/11 #GW38 Fixture Analysis
MCI v NOR - The best attack vs the worse defense.
3 MCI players is a must. My advice is to wait for possible early team news from @FplScarface (thank you legend). I wouldn’t waste a slot on MCI def since I expect a cricket score for this game.
#FPL
MCI v NOR - The best attack vs the worse defense.
3 MCI players is a must. My advice is to wait for possible early team news from @FplScarface (thank you legend). I wouldn’t waste a slot on MCI def since I expect a cricket score for this game.
#FPL
9/11 #GW38 Fixture Analysis
Liverpool has the 2nd highest xG against an injury-filled Newcastle. Usual players should be considered. Salah would be desperate to score at least 1 more goal to get his 3rd consecutive 20 goal haul since he joined the club.
#FPL
Liverpool has the 2nd highest xG against an injury-filled Newcastle. Usual players should be considered. Salah would be desperate to score at least 1 more goal to get his 3rd consecutive 20 goal haul since he joined the club.
#FPL
and RTs 
appreciated :)
