A dark week, but here are four pieces of good news on the COVID-front.

1) There& #39;s a growing consensus that COVID reinfection is unlikely. Immunity probably doesn& #39;t disappear after a few weeks, or months. For more on how COVID immunity works: https://theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2020/07/could-covid-19-immunity-really-disappear-months/614377/">https://theatlantic.com/ideas/arc...

2) Transmission of COVID-19 from mothers to newborns is unlikely to occur with basic hygiene precautions.

https://twitter.com/EricTopol/status/1286491765625597952?s=20.">https://twitter.com/EricTopol...

3) Modelers are projecting that total new infections have peaked.

https://twitter.com/youyanggu/status/1286421296474202115

We">https://twitter.com/youyanggu... can see that case growth has already peaked in hotspot states, led by a 33 percent decline from peak in Arizona.

4) Hospital mortality rate has declined significantly since April. One reason is that we& #39;ve discovered new effective drugs (no, not hydroxychloroquine.

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-020-2577-1

New">https://www.nature.com/articles/... research has identified 13 more FDA-approved anti-viral candidates.

Big picture: This summer& #39;s COVID surge has been a catastrophic unforced error, and deaths are rising again. There& #39;s little to celebrate here, but perhaps some reasons to hope that, with continued vigilance and bit of government competence, we can bend this curve.