Appearing on the @MileEndInst pod later today to discuss Johnson's first year as PM

One thing we'll be talking about is Johnson's voting coalition. Graphs like make it look like the economically insecure voted for Johnson

Appearances, however, can be deceptive (1/5)

Firstly, the results above are driven by low-income pensioners who voted for Conservative

Amongst low-income voters:

Under 60s, Labour leads 41% to 35%
Over 60s, Tories lead by 61% to 20%

Pensioners tend to be financially secure w/ generous pensions & homeownership

(2/5)

When we break down voting intention by housing status (i.e. wealth), the economically secure are still voting for the Conservative

Amongst Owners, Conservatives lead by 50% to 26.5%
Amongst Renters, Labour lead by 44% to 32%

And now for the final piece of evidence ...

(3/5)

The Tories also led strongly amongst people who thought their economic situation would get better; Labour led amongst those who thought it would get worse

Financial Situation Better: Tory 72%, Labour 13%
Financial Situation Worse: Tory 17%, Labour 54%

(4/5)

As we'll be discussing later, Johnson has governed in order to reward this relatively well-off voting coalition

The Levelling Up Agenda? Will mostly benefit the relatively well-off in some less rich areas

Redistribution that would reduce poverty? Not on the agenda

(5/5)