Appearing on the @MileEndInst pod later today to discuss Johnson& #39;s first year as PM

One thing we& #39;ll be talking about is Johnson& #39;s voting coalition. Graphs like https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="👇🏾" title="Rückhand Zeigefinger nach unten (durchschnittlich dunkler Hautton)" aria-label="Emoji: Rückhand Zeigefinger nach unten (durchschnittlich dunkler Hautton)">make it look like the economically insecure voted for Johnson

Appearances, however, can be deceptive (1/5)

Firstly, the results above are driven by low-income pensioners who voted for Conservative

Amongst low-income voters:

Under 60s, Labour leads 41% to 35%
Over 60s, Tories lead by 61% to 20%

Pensioners tend to be financially secure w/ generous pensions & homeownership

(2/5)

When we break down voting intention by housing status (i.e. wealth), the economically secure are still voting for the Conservative

Amongst Owners, Conservatives lead by 50% to 26.5%
Amongst Renters, Labour lead by 44% to 32%

And now for the final piece of evidence ...

(3/5)

The Tories also led strongly amongst people who thought their economic situation would get better; Labour led amongst those who thought it would get worse

Financial Situation Better: Tory 72%, Labour 13%
Financial Situation Worse: Tory 17%, Labour 54%

(4/5)

As we& #39;ll be discussing later, Johnson has governed in order to reward this relatively well-off voting coalition

The Levelling Up Agenda? Will mostly benefit the relatively well-off in some less rich areas

Redistribution that would reduce poverty? Not on the agenda

(5/5)