(Thread) The Trump Mayhem Circus

What does Trump hope to accomplish—and what might he accomplish—in Oregon, and with the threat to take this “nationwide?”

The clue, I believe, is in his campaign's "thinking" behind his “OPEN THE SCHOOLS!” gambit.

https://twitter.com/CBCWorldNews/status/1284105393975832578
2/ The OPEN THE SCHOOLS! gambit shows you how badly Trump and Kushner read public opinion.

Their miscalculation with white suburban women is not surprising given the fact that they are isolated in an echo chamber.
https://www.cnn.com/2020/07/17/politics/donald-trump-schools-strategy-2020/index.html
3/ Anecdotally, the GOP “suburban” women I know probably voted for Trump in 2016. They’ll also fight like mother bears if anyone tries to endanger their cubs.

It was a stupid calculation.

I suggest he stupidly thinks that the Oregon Mayhem will improve his election chances.
5/ We will see chaos and mayhem, but not a military coup.

The US has 328+ million people spread out over a vast landmass.

Even if Trump had the actual armed forces behind him, pulling off a Pinochet-style military coup d'état would be difficult. But he doesn't and won't.
6/ But he wants everyone to think he is mighty and strong.

He's good at fooling people into thinking he’s something he isn’t: Successful businessman. Strongman.

The con keeps his base behind him.

It also keeps everyone else in a panic, which reinforces the strongman image.
7/ Creating mayhem in Ring #3 excites his base and prevents them from thinking about how many people are dying of Covid-19.

If his base thinks about the virus, they might lose faith in him.

He wants the story to be about protestors, not Covid ⤵️ https://twitter.com/Teri_Kanefield/status/1284327307449004033
8/ Anecdotally, a Trump-supporter in my town told me that for all Trump’s flaws, she has to vote for him so he can save us from those dangerous, lawbreaking protestors.

The con works with a segment of people. Trump is in an echo chamber and listens only to those people.
9/ This will backfire, just like the Tear-gas-St. John’s-Photo Op, and just like the “Open the Schools” gambit.

It also further exposes the hollow hypocrisy of the “states’ rights / federalism” people.

(I'm glad to have the hypocrisy exposed.) https://twitter.com/Popehat/status/1284551980438794241
10/ How long will this particular crisis last? I wish I knew.

I only know this will not be the last time Trump violates the law and find a way to keep his base cheering.

This crisis will end when Trump moves the spotlight to the next act in the Trump Mayhem Circus.
12/ Perhaps I’ll end with a quotation from the late John Lewis.

(Writing the words ‘the late John Lewis’ brings tears).
https://twitter.com/BarbMcQuade/status/1284531965878829057

John Lewis knew it would never be easy.
13/ I agree. Fascism needs an enemy. This time, Trump selected the protestors.

For many voters, this means the "dangerous enemy" are sons, daughters, friends, etc. https://twitter.com/CarolynEast2/status/1284568097223872513
14/ Deliberately creating mayhem doesn't strike me as a smart re-election strategy [I typed that in the understatement font.]
https://twitter.com/joshtpm/status/1284605855690825729

Trump runs into trouble because the truth keeps coming out and enough people have access to the truth.
15/ After the 2018 midterms when Trump realized he was in trouble, he launched Operation Ukraine Shakedown to frame the Bidens.

Ukraine never launched the investigation.

The operation failed because people inside came forward.
https://nytimes.com/2020/07/18/us/portland-protests.html
h/t @mjf_dfw

Now this:
16/ When we talk about the institutions hold out against, we mean the people employed by the agencies, the free press, the Courts (SCOTUS rejected Trump's 'absolute immunity doctrine'), etc.

Someone leaked that memo to the NYT.

(I said I was finished, then continued on 😂.)
Here's the thing⤵️ Some of them genuinely, truly believe that the protestors are a bigger danger than the virus.

They believe (and Fox repeats) that Trump will protect their "way of life."

They understand what that's code for . . . https://twitter.com/houseofannie/status/1284652610163630080
The best answer is from Richard Hofstader: Those on the fringes of American politics exhibit the paranoid style and believe that their way of life is being taken from them. They think the essence of America is being destroyed.

The Confederates claimed . . .
. . . to be fighting to protect the Southern "way of life. "

Now Trump says that if Biden is president, he will destroy the "suburbs." Trump has a 1950s idea of "suburbs" (think "white flight.")

This is why they're more afraid of BLM than the virus . . .
https://www.cnn.com/2020/07/16/politics/donald-trump-white-suburbs/index.html
. . . the virus will kill people. BLM will destroy their "way of life." I think that needs no further explanation.
You can follow @Teri_Kanefield.
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