Via @spectator,
"Some of those claiming to be ‘following the science’ seem not to understand the meaning of the word."
https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/how-strong-was-the-scientific-advice-behind-lockdown
My">https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/h... letter and brief to @BorisJohnson on expert failure and what to do about it.
https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/... draggable="false" alt="👇" title="Rückhand Zeigefinger nach unten" aria-label="Emoji: Rückhand Zeigefinger nach unten">
"Some of those claiming to be ‘following the science’ seem not to understand the meaning of the word."
https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/how-strong-was-the-scientific-advice-behind-lockdown
My">https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/h... letter and brief to @BorisJohnson on expert failure and what to do about it.
References (thread)
A very brief introduction:
The fallen state of experts
How can governments learn from their expert failings?
Roger Koppl, The Critic, 7 May 2020 https://bit.ly/FallenExperts ">https://bit.ly/FallenExp...
A very brief introduction:
The fallen state of experts
How can governments learn from their expert failings?
Roger Koppl, The Critic, 7 May 2020 https://bit.ly/FallenExperts ">https://bit.ly/FallenExp...
Three linked articles:
Pandemics and the Problem of Expert Failure
Part 1: Which Experts Matter in a Pandemic?
Roger Koppl, The Library of Economics and Liberty, 30 March 2020 https://bit.ly/Koppl1 ">https://bit.ly/Koppl1&qu...
Pandemics and the Problem of Expert Failure
Part 1: Which Experts Matter in a Pandemic?
Roger Koppl, The Library of Economics and Liberty, 30 March 2020 https://bit.ly/Koppl1 ">https://bit.ly/Koppl1&qu...
Pandemics and the Problem of Expert Failure
Part 2: Should Experts Agree?
Roger Koppl, The Library of Economics and Liberty, 31 March 2020 https://bit.ly/Koppl2 ">https://bit.ly/Koppl2&qu...
Part 2: Should Experts Agree?
Roger Koppl, The Library of Economics and Liberty, 31 March 2020 https://bit.ly/Koppl2 ">https://bit.ly/Koppl2&qu...
Pandemics and the Problem of Expert Failure
Part 3: Should Experts Have Power?
Roger Koppl, The Library of Economics and Liberty, 2 April 2020 https://bit.ly/Koppl3 ">https://bit.ly/Koppl3&qu...
Part 3: Should Experts Have Power?
Roger Koppl, The Library of Economics and Liberty, 2 April 2020 https://bit.ly/Koppl3 ">https://bit.ly/Koppl3&qu...
Textbook:
Expert Failure
Cambridge Studies in Economics, Choice, and Society, Cambridge University Press, Roger Koppl, 2 August 2018
https://smile.amazon.co.uk/dp/1316503046/ref=cm_sw_em_r_mt_dp_U_ss09EbCE1EQC3">https://smile.amazon.co.uk/dp/131650...
Expert Failure
Cambridge Studies in Economics, Choice, and Society, Cambridge University Press, Roger Koppl, 2 August 2018
https://smile.amazon.co.uk/dp/1316503046/ref=cm_sw_em_r_mt_dp_U_ss09EbCE1EQC3">https://smile.amazon.co.uk/dp/131650...
Four Recommendations:
1. Simulate a market for expert advice using competing expert groups in the same field.
2. In particular, require three independent expert opinions on critical policy.
1. Simulate a market for expert advice using competing expert groups in the same field.
2. In particular, require three independent expert opinions on critical policy.
3. Expose the partial perspective of experts by bringing together complementary fields.
4. Employ “red teams” (advocati diaboli) to challenge the prevailing expert opinion.
4. Employ “red teams” (advocati diaboli) to challenge the prevailing expert opinion.
& #39;We have not overthrown the divine right of kings to fall down for the divine right of experts’ – Harold Macmillan
Oh yes we have. Regrettably.
Time for challenge and change.
Oh yes we have. Regrettably.
Time for challenge and change.
https://twitter.com/stevebakerhw/status/1276145205683650562?s=21">https://twitter.com/stevebake... https://twitter.com/SteveBakerHW/status/1276145205683650562">https://twitter.com/SteveBake...
The question to @BorisJohnson in the @HouseofCommons
#contribution-0074E4FF-492D-4FDD-B7FC-783230B1CCBE">https://hansard.parliament.uk/Commons/2020-06-23/debates/7E464B41-46ED-4FA9-BAFD-28EC7B3DA230/Covid-19Update?highlight=expert #contribution-0074E4FF-492D-4FDD-B7FC-783230B1CCBE">https://hansard.parliament.uk/Commons/2...
#contribution-0074E4FF-492D-4FDD-B7FC-783230B1CCBE">https://hansard.parliament.uk/Commons/2020-06-23/debates/7E464B41-46ED-4FA9-BAFD-28EC7B3DA230/Covid-19Update?highlight=expert #contribution-0074E4FF-492D-4FDD-B7FC-783230B1CCBE">https://hansard.parliament.uk/Commons/2...
Also good from @AlistairHaimes:
"Ignoring the Covid evidence
"Far from following the science, the government turned its back on all available data" https://thecritic.co.uk/issues/july-august-2020/ignoring-the-covid-evidence/">https://thecritic.co.uk/issues/ju...
"Ignoring the Covid evidence
"Far from following the science, the government turned its back on all available data" https://thecritic.co.uk/issues/july-august-2020/ignoring-the-covid-evidence/">https://thecritic.co.uk/issues/ju...