Via @spectator,

"Some of those claiming to be ‘following the science’ seem not to understand the meaning of the word."

https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/how-strong-was-the-scientific-advice-behind-lockdown

My letter and brief to @BorisJohnson on expert failure and what to do about it. 👇
Textbook:

Expert Failure

Cambridge Studies in Economics, Choice, and Society, Cambridge University Press, Roger Koppl, 2 August 2018

https://smile.amazon.co.uk/dp/1316503046/ref=cm_sw_em_r_mt_dp_U_ss09EbCE1EQC3
Four Recommendations:

1. Simulate a market for expert advice using competing expert groups in the same field.

2. In particular, require three independent expert opinions on critical policy.
3. Expose the partial perspective of experts by bringing together complementary fields.

4. Employ “red teams” (advocati diaboli) to challenge the prevailing expert opinion.
'We have not overthrown the divine right of kings to fall down for the divine right of experts’ – Harold Macmillan

Oh yes we have. Regrettably.

Time for challenge and change.
You can follow @SteveBakerHW.
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