I'm not surprised to see @judyshel come under attack for her defense of the gold standard ahead of her Senate Banking Committee confirmation vote next week. But it is sad to see the same old tired arguments paraded about, with little consideration of the historical record. 1/n
While that is mighty fine evidence that the gold standard is not politically feasible, it does not imply that the gold standard performs worse than discretionary central banking. We could look at the historical record, of course. But Wilcox prefers a theoretical argument. 3/
There is no denying that "central banks have learned" over the years. But there have been plenty of missteps. The Great Inflation in the 1970s, when money was too loose, and the Great Recession of 2008-09, when money was too tight, come immediately to mind. 4/
Why is the gold standard bad? Wilcox claims it "disables...shock absorbers that...help to stabilize economies in the face of unexpected turbulence." That's just not true. 6/
When a country suffers an adverse aggregate demand shock, domestic output and prices fall relative to trend and, correspondingly, the purchasing power of domestic money rises. Under a gold standard, the rise in purchasing power causes gold to flow into the suffering country. 7/
It also encourages miners to bring more gold to market. That's right, folks. The gold standard automatically adjusts the supply of money to offset changes in aggregate demand, which is exactly what we would like discretionary monetary policy to do. 8/
I'll be the first to admit the gold standard mechanism is slow. A well-functioning central bank would offset AD shocks more quickly. But there is an important distinction between doing the wrong thing, as Wilcox claims, and doing the right thing slowly. 8/
The relevant question is one of relative comparisons: do actual central bank managed fiat monies tend to perform better than actual gold standards? To answer that, we should turn to the historical record. 11/
The gold standard resulted in lower, more-predictable inflation; reduced exchange rate risk; and reduced international borrowing costs. It was not associated with greater output volatility or higher unemployment. 12/
To be clear: I am not advocating for a return to the gold standard. I am advocating for a better understanding of actually existing monetary alternatives. 16/
So, if you are planning to write an op-ed about @judyshel's views on the gold standard, take a few minutes to read this brief explainer by @GeorgeSelgin. It is a small investment that will keep you from making the same old historically-uninformed mistakes as others. 17/
Disclosure: Shelton was director of the Sound Money Project, prior to its move from Atlas to AIER. I was a fellow w/ the SMP at the time. I am now the director of SMP at AIER. Interestingly, I don't recall ever actually communicating with Shelton. But discount accordingly. 18/18
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