Read on Twitter
Thread.
Did a downswing in 2019 had an impact to current situation and increased fatalaties in 2020.
Focus are the "hard hit countries" and age group 85+
Exercise: take numbers from peak in
2020 week 13 to week 17
and shift them back to winter
2018/2019 week 48 to week 13
Did a downswing in 2019 had an impact to current situation and increased fatalaties in 2020.
Focus are the "hard hit countries" and age group 85+
Exercise: take numbers from peak in
2020 week 13 to week 17
and shift them back to winter
2018/2019 week 48 to week 13
(2)
Spain
Peak 2020 Week 14: 29.365 total fatalaties age group 85+ .
Shifted numbers in total: 14k
Spain
Peak 2020 Week 14: 29.365 total fatalaties age group 85+ .
Shifted numbers in total: 14k
(3)
USA
Peak 2020 Week 15: 24.684 total fatalaties age group 85+ .
Shifted numbers in total: 15k
USA
Peak 2020 Week 15: 24.684 total fatalaties age group 85+ .
Shifted numbers in total: 15k
(4)
Sweden
Peak 2020 week 15: 1.192 total fatalaties age group 85+ .
Shifted numbers in total: 1k
Sweden
Peak 2020 week 15: 1.192 total fatalaties age group 85+ .
Shifted numbers in total: 1k
(5)
Typo again Thread (2) Spain.
Peak 2020 Week 14: 10538 total fatalaties age group 85+ .
Chart is correct.
Typo again Thread (2) Spain.
Peak 2020 Week 14: 10538 total fatalaties age group 85+ .
Chart is correct.
(6)
England and Wales
Peak 2020 week 16: 9.601 total fatalaties age group 85+ .
Shifted numbers in total: 9.5k
England and Wales
Peak 2020 week 16: 9.601 total fatalaties age group 85+ .
Shifted numbers in total: 9.5k
(7)
Belgium
Peak 2020 week 16: 2.105 total fatalaties age group 85+ .
Shifted numbers in total: 2.2k
Belgium
Peak 2020 week 16: 2.105 total fatalaties age group 85+ .
Shifted numbers in total: 2.2k
(8)
Germany no hard hit 2020.
But as a I highlighted here, Germany has a higher mortality rate anyway
https://twitter.com/DaFeid/status/1281131174920945664
Germany no hard hit 2020.
But as a I highlighted here, Germany has a higher mortality rate anyway
https://twitter.com/DaFeid/status/1281131174920945664
(9)
11 European Countries.
Hard hit: Spain, France, Netherlands, Belgium, Sweden (??)
+ Norway, Finland, Austria, Switzerland, Hungary, Portugal
Peak 2020 week 16: 29.365 total fatalaties age group 85+
Shifted numbers in total: 26k
11 European Countries.
Hard hit: Spain, France, Netherlands, Belgium, Sweden (??)
+ Norway, Finland, Austria, Switzerland, Hungary, Portugal
Peak 2020 week 16: 29.365 total fatalaties age group 85+
Shifted numbers in total: 26k
Credit to @FatEmperor who made video about this already https://twitter.com/FatEmperor/status/1280105813672148992?s=19
@threader_app please compile
(10)
I have been asked if this calc will also work for other age groups.
Europe, same countries as (9) but age group 75-84.
Peak 2020 week 16: 16.653 total fatalaties age group 75-84
Shifted numbers in total: 13k
I have been asked if this calc will also work for other age groups.
Europe, same countries as (9) but age group 75-84.
Peak 2020 week 16: 16.653 total fatalaties age group 75-84
Shifted numbers in total: 13k
(11)
All age groups.
Total numbers.
Europe, countries see above (9).
Peak 2020 week 14: 61.591 total fatalities
Shifted numbers in total: 32k
All age groups.
Total numbers.
Europe, countries see above (9).
Peak 2020 week 14: 61.591 total fatalities
Shifted numbers in total: 32k
(12)
USA
All age groups.
Total numbers.
Peak 2020 week 15: 77.737 total fatalities
Shifted numbers in total: 50k
USA
All age groups.
Total numbers.
Peak 2020 week 15: 77.737 total fatalities
Shifted numbers in total: 50k
(13)
Did you know that I am actually sceptic about those blurry curves since I have seen so many COVID curves?
I will do another view and try to keep it simple.
Total numbers summary from week 1 to week 25 each year.
We see the spike 2020.
Did you know that I am actually sceptic about those blurry curves since I have seen so many COVID curves?
I will do another view and try to keep it simple.
Total numbers summary from week 1 to week 25 each year.
We see the spike 2020.
(14)
To break the numbers down divide by 25 to get it
on a weekly basis to ensure a better visibilty.
To break the numbers down divide by 25 to get it
on a weekly basis to ensure a better visibilty.
(15)
Now, time range is 5 years.
Population grew.
On the left side from ~321 Mio 2015 to ~328 Mio 2019.
I took 328 Mio for 2020 as well.
Have a look at 2019 !
Now, time range is 5 years.
Population grew.
On the left side from ~321 Mio 2015 to ~328 Mio 2019.
I took 328 Mio for 2020 as well.
Have a look at 2019 !
(16)
This are the numbers per week per mio.
Average is 81.
2020 is clearly above average!
2019 below.
This are the numbers per week per mio.
Average is 81.
2020 is clearly above average!
2019 below.
(17)
In exercise (12) I have shifted back 50k to 2019.
50k divided by 25 weeks divided by 328 population
is ~6.
Result:
2020 is average.
2019 is on level 2017.
I hope, that was not too difficult.
In exercise (12) I have shifted back 50k to 2019.
50k divided by 25 weeks divided by 328 population
is ~6.
Result:
2020 is average.
2019 is on level 2017.
I hope, that was not too difficult.
