Thread by @IHME_UW, Our latest study, “Fertility, mortality, migration, and population scenarios for 195 countries [...]

Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME)

IHME_UW

Our latest study, “Fertility, mortality, migration, and population scenarios for 195 countries and territories from 2017 to 2100: a forecasting analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study” was just published in @TheLancet.

Read the study online: https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(20)30677-2/fulltext

View past and future trends in population and fertility by country, region, forecasting scenario, age group, year, and sex using our new Population Forecasting data visualization. #GBDstudy Explore the tool:

http://vizhub.healthdata.org/population-forecast

Based on our reference projections, the five largest countries in 2100 are:

India (1.09 billion)

Nigeria (791 million)

China (732 million)

USA (336 million)

Pakistan (248 million)

Based on our reference projections, the five largest countries in 2100 are: India (1.09 billion) Nigeria (791 million) China (732 million) USA (336 million) Pakistan (248 million)

As @richardhorton1, Editor-in-Chief of @TheLancet explains, population change is set to dictate major shifts in global power over the course of the 21st century, as most countries face new economic, social, environmental and geopolitical challenges.

Download the Population in 2100 infographic:
» https://bit.ly/PopInfographic

Read the press release: http://www.healthdata.org/news-release/lancet-world-population-likely-shrink-after-mid-century-forecasting-major-shifts-global

The Lancet: World population likely to shrink after mid-century,

Improvements in access to modern contraception and the education of girls and women are generating widespread, sustained declines in fertility, and world population will likely peak in 2064 at around

http://www.healthdata.org/news-release/lancet-world-population-likely-shrink-after-mid-century-forecasting-major-shifts-global

Share details from the study with our social media kit: https://bit.ly/Pop-2100

Population in 2100

See the story

https://bit.ly/Pop-2100

ICYMI: https://twitter.com/IHME_UW/status/1283484139900096512?s=20

https://twitter.com/IHME_UW/status/1283484139900096512?s=20

IHME Director Chris Murray and Executive Director of @UNFPA @Atayeshe discuss the drivers of declining fertility rates in many regions of the world as well as their social, economic, fiscal and national security implications (via @CFR_org w/ @TomBollyky). https://www.cfr.org/event/emptying-planet-global-impact-declining-fertility-rates-virtual-roundtable

The Emptying Planet: The Global Impact of Declining Fertility Rates, A Virtual Roundtable

Most countries outside of sub-Saharan Africa are projected to enter a period of sustained low fertility and a decline in the working age populations. Speakers Drs. Natalia Kanem and Christopher...

https://www.cfr.org/event/emptying-planet-global-impact-declining-fertility-rates-virtual-roundtable

Population = power says @richardhorton1 https://twitter.com/IHME_UW/status/1283778489561296897?s=20

https://twitter.com/IHME_UW/status/1283778489561296897?s=20

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