I'm seeing people worrying about new cases increasing.

The England 7-day ave by specimen date for 9th July (later dates unreliable as more cases to come) is indeed up from the 4th. But a couple of things to note.

7-day ave on 9th still about same as a week earlier and much lower than 2 weeks before.

Also, figure for 9th inflated by 63 cases from the Herefordshire farm.

Importantly, the increase from 4th to 9th cannot be due to pubs etc opening on 4th July.

Given time till symptoms, any extra infections from the 4th would only translate to new positive tests from 10th at earliest.

And from reports in so far, looks likely that the 7-day average will start to come down again on the 10th.

As always best to focus on the long run trend rather than short term ups & downs.

(and now back to enjoying our holiday!!)