Thread by @FPLBrain, #GW35 --> Stick or Twist? Transfer advice THREAD #1 We're all in [...]

#GW35 --> Stick or Twist? Transfer advice THREAD #1

We're all in different situations in terms of our mini leagues, OR targets and current team setups. I'm going to highlight 5 low risk players to help consolidate position & 5 high risk options for those trying to chase...

STICK - Low risk options for those looking to consolidate OR / ML position

#1 WILY BOLY - yes these are boring but effective picks! Wolves have an absurd 8/11 cleans since his return and he remains a bargain at 4.8m . Hasn't scored this season but remains a threat from corners

Wolves next 2 fixtures are excellent (bur, CRY). If you need a defensive replacement he ticks every box.

#2 MO SALAH - you may have heard of him. All-time FPL legend, >300 pt season on his resume, unashamedly going all out for his 3rd successive Golden Boot. I keep seeing...

...ppl selling and I'm mystified. I know there are a lot of good mids right now and the fix look middling, but Liverpool could wipe the floor with Arsenal & Chelsea and we know they will annihilate Newcastle. He's 4 goals behind Vardy and he'll beg, borrow and steal to get them..

Mo is behind only the 4 goal supernova Antonio for big chances, SIB and xGI among mids over the last 6 and I bet none top him over the next 3.

#3 DAVID SILVA - tickets for the Dilva goodbye tour are still available and it could be special. Just rested, BOU, wat, NOR coming up..

...and City battering teams one after another. He's not just a nostalgic pick either, he's 15th for xGI (11.1) among mids on the season in just 1712 minutes, 1000 fewer than Maddo who's just above him. If he played all the time he'd be top 5 behind Mo, Raz, Kev, Mane and now we..

..have just 3 games left of which he should play about 2/3rds against terrible teams. You know in the finale they'll find a way to get him at least 1 goal and he won't need help finding an assist or 2 to go with. What a wonderful footballer, the Prem has been lucky to have him.

#4 DANNY INGS - I'll keep this short as you probably couldn't wait and already punted out Jimi for him. His underlying numbers and actual production have been on a par with the top fwds all year he's in the best shape of his life. Southamptons high pressing style is perfect for..

..him and he for it and helps keep the chances coming, which he keeps finishing off. Has taken home multiple baps most times he's scored too. BHA & bou next, to which we say 'yay!' and then SHU to which we say 'boo!' but it's still an ok fixture. Remains in the Golden Boot race..

..and he'll need 3 or 4 in the next 2 to stand any chance, so jump aboard and we can actually enjoy his goals instead of them killing our ranks.

#5 TRENT - so good we know him by just one name or 3 initials, like Prince or VAR. Much like Mo, I've seen talk of selling but EO%..

..in the top 10k will still be north of 70%, he's had his rest game and there's even talk of him playing in midfield some. At this point I think it's the attacking returns that are very likely and a CS or 2 that would be the cherry on top. Surely they at least clean at Newcastle?

TWIST - high risk (/low EO%) for those needing huge gainzz to reach the OR they desire or a pesky ML opponent. Buyer beware - choosing these over the 'template' picks will hurt rank if they don't work out. Fortunately I think there are a few with both a solid floor & major upside

#1 LUCAS DIGNE - you know who's been shit lately? Everton, yes. You know who's still been good? Lucas Digne, yes I know the heading pretty much gives it away. #5 for xGI among defs on the season, #7 over the last 6. Absolute peach of an assist for Richarlison 2 games ago and...

...v nearly scored at Wolves. Everton have no mids so they're useless with the ball but they've still been defending well (until Wolves anyway), and they face toothless AVL, ok shu and bizarre BOU over the last 3 games. I'm just going to guess and say 3 combined CS + att returns

Digne's top 10k ownership % (which we'll use as a proxy for active ownership, courtesy of http://livefpl.net ) was just 6.6% in GW35

#2 HEUNG-MIN SON - everyone's favourite SK military vet and quasi striker, he's gone out of vogue a bit and let's be honest it's Jose and ...

...Mou-ball that's putting people off. Indeed, Spurs' xG is only 6.9 over the last 6 (13th), so that's not ideal, but I love the fixtures (new, LEI, cry) as that's 2 on the beach and Leicester missing 3 of their starting defenders. He's on most set pieces, remains a goal threat..

..from open play and has been more creative than in previous seasons (#20 xA among mids). 5 goals 3 assists in his last 8 starts. Hard to see him not scoring at least 1 or 2 in the final 3. [6.8% top 10k EO]

#3 BIG CHRIS WOOD - this one inspired by the @FMLFPL pod. Burnley are..

..unfashionable but effective with nice fixtures in 37 & 38 (nor, BHA). Wood has quietly bagged 11 goals this season in just 2178 mins along with 13.6 xGI (13th among fwds, 9 of the 12 above him played more mins). GW37 is a bit of an awkward set of fixtures so if you need a...

...cheap fwd with brace potential, he's your extremely sturdy looking man. [0.03% top 10k ownership!!

]

#4 MARCUS ALONSO - ok yes we're getting v high risk here. I recently wasted 2 transfers bringing him in (after 5 consecutive 90s) and then out (after 2 zeros). However...

...there's a solid chance that we again get early Chelsea teamsheet news before the deadline, and if he's back in (they may as well have his attacking prowess given they couldn't defend without him either) vs Norwich then he has serious haul potential. If he's not then forget it!

[1% top 10k ownership]

#5 HARRY KANE! - I know, I know. You maybe brought him in recently for the Bournemouth banker that wasn't or maybe you even gave up much longer ago (home Cardiff). He hasn't been hauling, he's barely been scoring (are you sold yet? ha), but he'll never...

...ever stop shooting and even if he's not quite the striker he was, sooner or later a top class forward, a born goalscorer like Harry will put a run together. The fixtures are very kind (new, LEI, cry) as discussed with Son, and he won't want to finish the season like this.

Watching as a non-owner in several of his recent games I felt like if he got 1 he'd go on to get 2 or 3 and it didn't quite happen. I think it will happen soon. I'm not saying he's necessarily as good a pick as Ings, Jesus, Rashford but he has haul potential, the right fixtures..

..an absolute green light to shoot on sight and a v respectable 4.2 xGI over his last 6 (2nd only to Rash of fwds). He's not going to be for everyone but if he got a brace and a hattie in his last 3 games would you really be that surprised? I wouldn't.
[6.2% top 10k ownership]

Okay I hope this has been interesting and that it helps some of you with your buy / sell / hold decisions over the next few weeks. Please like, RT, follow etc if you enjoyed this and let's absolutely smash it over the next 3 gameweeks. Good luck!

I limited myself to 5 & 5 here that fit the format but since there's a lot of questions, other guys I rate highly for this GW onwards include Jesus, Pulisic, obvs Bruno, Martial, Rashford, Sterling, Foden (Kev and Mahrez i'm a bit concerned about mins but certainly 37 & 38)...

...Antonio again, there's no reason he can't follow up the 4 goal insanity with a brace vs Watford, Azpi, Doc, Saiss, Charlie Taylor.. and I'm sure I'm missing lots more but those were most of the players I considered / am considering

Latest Threads Unrolled: