A quick* look at the relationship between #knifecrime offence rates and #stopsearch offence rates (2017/18 figures). First, here with all forces and the E&W avg.
MPS a clear outlier on both measures (note these are *rates* not totals).
[*not that quick to produce]
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MPS a clear outlier on both measures (note these are *rates* not totals).
[*not that quick to produce]
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Now with the MPS and E&W avg removed. No relationship *at all* between the two measures.
So rates of #knifecrime do not explain rates of #stopsearch in general.
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So rates of #knifecrime do not explain rates of #stopsearch in general.
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Sources:
#Knifecrime rates: @commonslibrary data http://researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk/documents/SN04304/CBPSN04304.download.xlsx">https://researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk/documents... taken from https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-briefings/sn04304/">https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-... (most recent are for 2017/18)
#Stopsearch rates: https://www.ethnicity-facts-figures.service.gov.uk/crime-justice-and-the-law/policing/stop-and-search/latest/downloads/stop-and-search-data.csv">https://www.ethnicity-facts-figures.service.gov.uk/crime-jus... taken from https://www.ethnicity-facts-figures.service.gov.uk/crime-justice-and-the-law/policing/stop-and-search/latest">https://www.ethnicity-facts-figures.service.gov.uk/crime-jus... (I used the 2017/18 numbers)
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#Knifecrime rates: @commonslibrary data http://researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk/documents/SN04304/CBPSN04304.download.xlsx">https://researchbriefings.files.parliament.uk/documents... taken from https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-briefings/sn04304/">https://commonslibrary.parliament.uk/research-... (most recent are for 2017/18)
#Stopsearch rates: https://www.ethnicity-facts-figures.service.gov.uk/crime-justice-and-the-law/policing/stop-and-search/latest/downloads/stop-and-search-data.csv">https://www.ethnicity-facts-figures.service.gov.uk/crime-jus... taken from https://www.ethnicity-facts-figures.service.gov.uk/crime-justice-and-the-law/policing/stop-and-search/latest">https://www.ethnicity-facts-figures.service.gov.uk/crime-jus... (I used the 2017/18 numbers)
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Really important point: 2017/18 was *before* the MPS started their 3x increase of #stopsearch, so SS rates in the Met are now *much* higher
https://twitter.com/gmhales/status/1278412091922223105?s=20
4/">https://twitter.com/gmhales/s...
https://twitter.com/gmhales/status/1278412091922223105?s=20
4/">https://twitter.com/gmhales/s...
Here& #39;s what the first chart looks like with the MPS 2019/20 figures added ( #knifecrime rate up 6%, #stopsearch rate up 110%).
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*typo: they are stop and search rates, not stop and search offence rates.