(in which I unwisely try to explain collider bias, a statistical anomaly which I only vaguely understand myself, in a one-paragraph parenthesis in a 500-word blog post)
(I reckon it's about 70% likely I've made some cockup in that paragraph in fact. Check it! The first person to point out an error will win a prize of no money.)
someone in the DMs points out that collider bias can in fact go both ways – it can inflate or reduce the effect of a variable. Should have made that clear. But here's a good thread on collider bias which I am going to steal shamelessly for next time I write about it https://twitter.com/bristimtom/status/1259458854020165632
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