A reminder, for those of you looking ahead to tomorrow morning& #39;s #SCOTUS decisions in the Mazars cases: The more important of the two cases, involving congressional subpoenas, does *not* involve Trump& #39;s tax returns. It& #39;s about his financial & banking records more broadly, ... /1
The subpoena in the other case (Vance) does cover tax returns, as well as other financial info, but it& #39;s less important for immediate governance purposes b/c the info will be disclosed to a NY grand jury, which is legally bound not to disclose it publicly. /3
And to plan your morning, here& #39;s the likely POA: At 10:01, the Court issues McGirt, written by Gorsuch unless he joined the left side, in which case SS would write. At 10:11, Vance will be issued, likely written by SGB, and upholding the NY subpoena (w/perhaps 6-8 votes). /4
And at 10:21 or so, CJ for the Court in Trump v. Mazars. Up for grabs: He might uphold some (e.g., HPSCI) or all of the House subpoenas, or rule that they all require further justification. Unlike Nixon Tapes and Clinton v. Jones, it almost certainly won& #39;t be unanimous. /5
But then again, no one thought those two decisions would be unanimous, either--indeed, many predicted Nixon and/or Clinton would win. /6
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