Our daily update is published. New records for cases, and a top-5 day for tests. Patients currently hospitalized jumped to over 43,000, about the levels of mid-May.

States reported more than 800 new deaths. The 7-day average is creeping back up.

We reached 3 million cumulative cases today, less than a month after reaching 2 million.

There’s been a lot of discussions about deaths continuing to trend down as cases have surged. This chart provides a partial answer to what’s been happening. The falling numbers in the NE were offsetting rising deaths in AZ, TX, FL.

This is the same pattern we saw for cases and hospitalizations over the last couple months. Compare Arizona, New Jersey, New York, and Texas.

Sadly, cases are rising in many states beyond Florida, Texas, and Arizona. 23 states have seen their highest day of cases in the past 2 weeks.

Although new cases continue to grow, testing providers are being overwhelmed. Turnaround times are lengthening; the supply chain is stressed. In a place like Arizona, this may mean that we won’t see rapid increases in cases because testing cannot scale with the outbreak.

California set a new record for cases, but some of it was backlog from LA County. COVID-19 hospitalizations are at an all-time high, too.

New Jersey has been adding probable deaths to its backlog. We put them in our raw data, but have kept it out of these charts, so that it’s easier to see the current trends. We’re still hoping to get more data from the state so that we can properly backfill those deaths.