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Peru - Strict Lockdown on 16th March.
But the curve has only just started to flatten despite locking down nearly 4 months ago.
So lockdown doesn't look like it has worked.
They are now approaching 11k deaths out of 33 million population.
1/3
But the curve has only just started to flatten despite locking down nearly 4 months ago.
So lockdown doesn't look like it has worked.
They are now approaching 11k deaths out of 33 million population.
1/3
2/3
If we assume IFR of around 0.2% then that implies about 5.5 million people have had Covid or 17% of population.
Conveniently, this matches Michael Levitt's burnout theory at around 20% of population exposure.
If we assume IFR of around 0.2% then that implies about 5.5 million people have had Covid or 17% of population.
Conveniently, this matches Michael Levitt's burnout theory at around 20% of population exposure.
3/3
It's hard to get a good sense of things but it may be the case that lockdown wasn't well respected in some areas.
But if that is the case, why would deaths be flattening now, when movement and interaction must be incressing as people become increasingly fed up.
It's hard to get a good sense of things but it may be the case that lockdown wasn't well respected in some areas.
But if that is the case, why would deaths be flattening now, when movement and interaction must be incressing as people become increasingly fed up.
