Peru - Strict Lockdown on 16th March.

But the curve has only just started to flatten despite locking down nearly 4 months ago.

So lockdown doesn& #39;t look like it has worked.

They are now approaching 11k deaths out of 33 million population.

1/3

2/3

If we assume IFR of around 0.2% then that implies about 5.5 million people have had Covid or 17% of population.

Conveniently, this matches Michael Levitt& #39;s burnout theory at around 20% of population exposure.

3/3

It& #39;s hard to get a good sense of things but it may be the case that lockdown wasn& #39;t well respected in some areas.

But if that is the case, why would deaths be flattening now, when movement and interaction must be incressing as people become increasingly fed up.