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Great discussion today with @DamonMacWilson @JohnEdHerbst @AtlanticCouncil and Lilia Shetsova and @vkaramurza , two of the most interesting analysts we have on Russian politics. Read everything they write ! THREAD. 1/
As follow up to the topics we discussed, here& #39;s our (w/ @kath_stoner ) short assessment of Putin first twenty years. "Chinese Dreams, Russian Realities" https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2020/01/21/chinese-dreams-russian-realities-a68984">https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2020/01/2... 2/
Here is an older article that discusses the conditions for democratic breakthroughs in Serbia 2000, Georgia 2003, and Ukraine 2004. https://www.journalofdemocracy.org/wp-content/uploads/2012/04/McFaul-16-3.pdf">https://www.journalofdemocracy.org/wp-conten... 3/
Here is an article explaining why autocracy in Russia is the result of Putin choices, and not culture or history. https://jcp.gc.cuny.edu/2018/04/26/volume-50-number-3-april-2018/">https://jcp.gc.cuny.edu/2018/04/2... 4/
And here I discuss Putin& #39;s paranoia about Russia& #39;s opposition movement and why therefore he feels the need to characterize any domestic resistance to his regime as sponsored by the United States (including me personally!) https://www.amazon.com/Cold-War-Hot-Peace-Ambassador/dp/0544716248">https://www.amazon.com/Cold-War-... 5/
Here is the classic on Transitions from From Authoritarian Rule. https://www.amazon.com/Transitions-Authoritarian-Rule-Comparative-Perspectives/dp/080183192X">https://www.amazon.com/Transitio... 6/
On predicting revolutions (which I noted today in our discussion that we in academia and government are very bad at doing), see for fun Michael McFaul, “1789, 1917 Can Guide & #39;90s Soviets,” San Jose Mercury News, August 19, 1990 . https://michaelmcfaul.com/bibliography ">https://michaelmcfaul.com/bibliogra... 7/
And here is an edited volume of cases of successful transition to democracy that included both elite division and mass mobilization. This book also include (often ignored) cases of failed democratic transitions. https://www.amazon.com/Transitions-Democracy-A-Comparative-Perspective/dp/1421408147/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1396861924&sr=8-1&keywords=mcfaul+stoner">https://www.amazon.com/Transitio... 8/
OK, end of class. None of these readings on the syllabus are required, only recommended! Thanks again for having me. END THREAD. 9/
