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Ings and xG.
A thread..
Firstly, I am a fan of the xG model, but not in isolation
You must watch games, and be familiar with a player’s style/ability because the xG model is one rule for all & not all players are the same
A thread..
Firstly, I am a fan of the xG model, but not in isolation
You must watch games, and be familiar with a player’s style/ability because the xG model is one rule for all & not all players are the same
While it’s very accurate for large pools of players, it’s inaccurate for a few and that’s where the eye-test is needed
The following goals have low xG, but Ings has a knack for this style of goal as you quickly get a feel for, from just three examples
Data from @FantasyFootyFix
The following goals have low xG, but Ings has a knack for this style of goal as you quickly get a feel for, from just three examples
Data from @FantasyFootyFix
1. xG 0.06
2. xG 0.08
3. xG 0.15
Stats are wonderful. They have helped me heaps over the years, and I wouldn’t have done as well without them
But, without watching and understanding football, and studying the traits of players, I wouldn’t have done well either
But, without watching and understanding football, and studying the traits of players, I wouldn’t have done well either
You only have to take a look at Ings 2014/15 season with newly promoted Burnley (who were relegated) to see how much of a versatile finisher he is
His finishing ability is likely to overachieve on xG, and this is why you must watch games/footage before forumlating a decision
His finishing ability is likely to overachieve on xG, and this is why you must watch games/footage before forumlating a decision
#FPL conclusion:
If you own him, keep and play him. Do not bench him. His ability allows him to score against the best (a diving header vs. Man. U in the above video prime example)
If you don’t own, buy him if you have no other fires to put out. Fixtures shouldn’t put you off
If you own him, keep and play him. Do not bench him. His ability allows him to score against the best (a diving header vs. Man. U in the above video prime example)
If you don’t own, buy him if you have no other fires to put out. Fixtures shouldn’t put you off
