India can beat the shit out of China is a week, if war ever breaks out.

China has a very big weakness that no one talks about

Thread! #ChineseProductsInDustbin
As you can see China is superior to India in every possible way from Aircrafts, Armoured vehicles, Submarines and even the Defence Budget. (Note: Chinese Tanks are 3050 and not 13050)
Now the assumption is China is attacking and India is defending. India is not interested in expanding its territories, unlike China. (e.g. Tibet, South China sea, Taiwan, etc.)

There’s seems no way India can hold its own against a Chinese assault.

It looks hopeless. Doesn’t it?
Now let me talk about the Biggest weakness of China.

It’s GEOGRAPHY

Let us divide the war centers into Land, Sea and Air theatres. First let’s discuss a conflict between PLA vs Indian Army assets. The manpower is the same so we will keep that aside for the moment.
Land Warfare - PLA vs IA:
A 40,000 Armoured Vehicles superiority over 2800 on the Indian side means zilch over a border that spreads over hundreds of kilometers of rocky, inhospitable, monstrously huge Himalayas with narrow passes.
The first thing India can do is destroy crucial bridges, turn all weather roads into rubble and block narrow strategic mountain passes. Once that is done, advancements of PLA will be drastically hampered. Strike One!!
Air Warfare - PLAAF vs IAF:
PLAAF aircraft has undoubted numerical superiority.

But what about logistics. Take a look at this.

(Note : Borders are bit incorrect in this map)
PLAAF has only 5 large airbases in Tibet and 2 in Xinjiang. India on the other hand has nearly 20 bases within flight range of the LAC.

So where are the majority of the 3000 aircraft of the PLAAF?

They are on the eastern side.

3500km away from the action.
This would mean mid-air refueling.

It would mean a longer time to respond after a primary attack.

And India will be able to track the incoming aircraft long before it reaches the war theater.

The seven Chinese airbases near the India border are not adequate for Indian attack
There is another Logistic problem. That of cargo weight.

Indian airbases with the exception of a few are the on the plains.

Tibet airbases are at an altitude of 4000m above sea level.
The lower air density at such high altitudes hampers jet engines and limits the amount of Weapons and fuel military aircraft can carry while still being able to take off.
Meteorological conditions across the Tibetan Plateau, moreover, are unpredictable, making it difficult to plan high-intensity air campaigns.

In short, the PLAAF cannot hope to run a Sustained air campaign.

That is Strike Two!!!
Sea Warfare - PLAN vs IN

This one is really interesting because PLAN has 76 submarines compared to 16 subs on our end. In total, China has 714 naval assets while India has only 295.

But China again has a Geography problem.

And that’s the choke point in the Straits of Malacca
If the Chinese Navy enter the IOR (Indian Ocean region) to engage with the Indian Navy, they will have to come through this Strait. And this channel is very narrow; only 2km at its narrowest point.
It will be difficult for them to send naval assets in the IOR without significant resistance from the Indian Navy guarding the entrance via Indira Point.
The second, even more important point is that of OIL.

Oil is the fuel on which the war machine runs.

And 80% of China’s oil is imported through the Malacca strait.

A naval blockade on Malacca, Lombok and Sunda straits will bring upon an oil crisis.
China has stored oil reserves in certain places for emergencies. 

But it won’t last long if they use it on a war-footing. Or if its targeted by India.

Without oil, their entire military juggernaut will come to a screeching halt.

Strike Three!!!
MISSILES.

The easiest way China can overcome their Geography problem is by launching Dongfeng Missiles.

But it will be an unwise move.

When a Missile is in the air, their is no way for the other country to know if the warhead is conventional or nuclear.
India will assume nuclear and launch its own Agni missiles.

And then it will be pouring Dongfengs and Agnis on India and China.

Cloudy with a chance of nukes


The decision for both countries will be: Counterforce or Countervalue?
Counterforce means attacking enemy’s military installations.

Countervalue means attacking cities and innocent civilian population centers.

Nuclear think-tanks believe that in the fog of war, misinformation and disinformation will be at its peak.
A country starting with Counterforce attack, would assume the other can make (or has made) a Countervalue attack

Once a single missile is launched between nuclear rivals,it can quickly escalate to Countervalue attacks targeting dozens of big cities including Mumbai and Shanghai
China will NEVER want to reach that level... Because once those levels are reached, It will be pushed back by atleast 25 years & their economic dream will collapse leading to collapse of their Regime.
Thus China can only keep barking, but when it comes to real action, they will be the first one to back out even at cost of giving back aksai chin!!
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