This is the type of tweet someone sends when they don't actually look at any data, have no interest in the facts, and just have a preconceived narrative they want to support. https://twitter.com/HeathMayo/status/1276606503034781699

First, notice how he ignores all the blue states currently spiking. The spikes aren't divided by red and blue. They are specifically correlated to areas where there were no major outbreaks before: https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1276512827449192452

Second, the timing for his narrative makes no sense. Those states didn't see ANY spikes for over a month of re-opening. Then suddenly they ALL started seeing upticks that originated end of May and early June. That can't be tied to reopening phases, which varied by state.

It's true there is limited data showing virus spread at protests (some in SF etc.), but the timing matches the protests much better than reopening. So it was either protests or something else that occurred at that time (Memorial Weekend, changes in behavior, media messaging etc)

As for the cities he points to, they aren't seeing a spike because they already had massive outbreaks they are still recovering from. The correlation to previous outbreak levels suggests this isn't due to a policy difference from one area to another.

Anyways, I realize the narrative is more popular because it's about scoring points on political opponents instead of getting to the truth. Hope the RTs are worth it.