"hospitals are about to be swamped again" has been a frequent claim of late

because it appears that no one else will, i'd like to share some good news:

the number of covid patients in US hospitals dropped by 635 yesterday and ICU census made a new low.

we can zoom in on the last 30 days to get a tighter look at what the tends are.

finally, we can look at the last week to see the rise that many found so worrying.

we saw a 4.7% rise in 4 days.

half that additional patient count went home yesterday.

current census is slightly lower than 6/13.

we can look at ICU over the same period and see that it has not mirrored the rise in hospitalization and has been dropping steadily.

overall hospitalization levels on 6/20 are 53% below peak.

ICU is 66% below peak.

even at peak, almost no hospital systems outside NY in the US were stressed.

all data from https://covidtracking.com/  whose data i trust as about as good as the US gets.

they source from states directly and have links to all sourcing.

this data does have an issue with boluses and artifacts as it's aggregated on day of report, not day of incidence.

this can make rises in testing and boluses of backlogged reports or changes in method into issues that do not bear on actual disease curves, so worth keeping an eye out for.