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So what's happening to views on Irish unification in NI?
More from @ARK_info #NILifeTimes survey #nilt2019
This incl. long-standing Qs plus some new ones about whether certain things would encourage or discourage people from voting in favour of a #UnitedIreland.
THREAD
1/7
More from @ARK_info #NILifeTimes survey #nilt2019
This incl. long-standing Qs plus some new ones about whether certain things would encourage or discourage people from voting in favour of a #UnitedIreland.
THREAD
1/7
#NILifeTimes (face-to-face, random sampling) has different results from internet polling e.g. @LucidTalk re: proportion wanting Irish unity.
It's reasonable to say our figure (c.1/4) prob. too low, theirs (c.1/2) prob. too high, & the 'real' figure is somewhere in-between.
2/7
It's reasonable to say our figure (c.1/4) prob. too low, theirs (c.1/2) prob. too high, & the 'real' figure is somewhere in-between.
2/7
The great value of NILT is that it is a time series survey, ie. same Q & method over 20+yrs.
Overall, there hasn't been a dramatic surge in support for Irish unity.
Devolution remains preferred long-term policy (even though it wasn't functioning when Q asked).
#nilt2019
3/7
Overall, there hasn't been a dramatic surge in support for Irish unity.
Devolution remains preferred long-term policy (even though it wasn't functioning when Q asked).
#nilt2019
3/7
When asked how theyâd vote in a referendum on Irish unification tomorrow, 6% wouldnât vote & 14% didn't know.
When asked what might encourage a Yes vote, a strong ROI economy was the main draw.
The NHS is something people seem loath to lose in such a vote. #borderpoll
4/7
When asked what might encourage a Yes vote, a strong ROI economy was the main draw.
The NHS is something people seem loath to lose in such a vote. #borderpoll
4/7
Unsurprisingly, there's a big difference along religious grounds in answer to these Qs,
i.e. Catholics open to persuasion (esp. to rejoin EU), Protestants not so much.
The results from those of No Religion fell pretty much between those of C&P.
Data: http://www.ark.ac.uk/nilt/2019/Political_Attitudes/
5/7
i.e. Catholics open to persuasion (esp. to rejoin EU), Protestants not so much.
The results from those of No Religion fell pretty much between those of C&P.
Data: http://www.ark.ac.uk/nilt/2019/Political_Attitudes/
5/7
Age was a significant variable on these Qs on border poll, with younger people more readily swayed in their vote across all factors, esp liberal laws*.
*NB new NI laws were announced during #nilt2019 so we had to adjust these 2 Qs, see technical note https://www.ark.ac.uk/nilt/2019/
6/7
*NB new NI laws were announced during #nilt2019 so we had to adjust these 2 Qs, see technical note https://www.ark.ac.uk/nilt/2019/
6/7
So, loads of interesting stuff, inc.
* Donât underestimate contd. importance of
for a large portion of the population in NI
* Donât overestimate significance of
independence for NI unionism
Now. I've been up to my oxters in data & this'll be my last #nilt2019 thread
7/7
* Donât underestimate contd. importance of
for a large portion of the population in NI* Donât overestimate significance of
independence for NI unionismNow. I've been up to my oxters in data & this'll be my last #nilt2019 thread
7/7
