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Trying to predict exactly where we will be as a nation in this pandemic in September is like trying to predict the exact weather that far out. We have an ‘idea’ where things should be based on trends within a confidence interval, but it won’t be exact.
Expecting exact specificity speaks more on the lack of understanding of those interpreting the data or findings than those disseminating the information or cultivating the models.
There is still so much unknown about COVID but the public demands immediate answers. It’s like trying to sail a ship forward through a dense fog while building that boat at the same time.
IMO the best approach is to go forward with cautious trepidation. Hope for the best but just like getting into a steaming hot bath... dip in the toe and reassess. Get in slowly and adjust as need be.
