I cannot keep reading all the commentaries on #Kosovo- #Serbia these days, ahead of an announced @WhiteHouse meeting between the leaders of the two countries. Whilst some of such comments contain very good analysis and bring forward problems associated with this process... (1/7)
...most commentators delve too much into too many details that the EU-led dialogue between the two countries has produced. Having studied the discourse produced in this dialogue over the past few years, I fear that most commentators are not seeing the forest for the trees (2/7)
The Trump administration is not known for comprehensive approach to any policymaking, let alone foreign policy. The EU, has lost weight in the process and its reputation is free-falling especially in Kosovo. With the DC meeting scheduled, the US is by all means taking lead. (3/7)
And while a tweet by @RichardGrenell seems to have more effect than an entire tour by @MiroslavLajcak, many say that the US would accelerate what the EU was trying to do. Yet, my worry is that the EU's simulation of power in this dialogue (damn I'm citing myself now?)... (4/7)
has produced too much of virtual reality that is not compatible at all with American pragmatism. As such, while the US might accelerate the process, it could also produce something that the EU would not be able to hold up to. This is why @EmmanuelMacron is merely reacting. (5/7)
I fear, however, that the EU will still be inward looking and paralysed over its internal divisions on #Kosovo, to the extent it cannot serve as a guarantor of any final agreement. Now, the old narrative of Euro-Atlantic cooperation is simply history. (6/7)
There is now much more competition than ever before, and not between the US and the EU, but rather between the US, France and Germany, and the supranational institutions who are lost in their own simulation. The game is on, chaotic and unpredictable. (7/7)
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