Lockdown. A thread
"Sweden has achieved roughly the same suppression of coronavirus without draconian restrictions" https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2020/06/02/prof-lockdown-neil-ferguson-admits-sweden-used-science-uk-has/">https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2020...
Please follow @ElonBachman, I& #39;ll be quoting him a lot
If voluntary distancing occurs before mandatory lockdown, then the lockdown had little to no effect. The government policy is stealing the credit of what individuals were already doing. https://twitter.com/ElonBachman/status/1266023291816423424?s=20">https://twitter.com/ElonBachm...
If voluntary distancing occurs before mandatory lockdown, then the lockdown had little to no effect. The government policy is stealing the credit of what individuals were already doing. https://twitter.com/ElonBachman/status/1266023291816423424?s=20">https://twitter.com/ElonBachm...
Hospitalizations peaked around the same time as the stay at home order. The voluntary distancing over the month already led to a plateau https://twitter.com/kelleykphoto/status/1272649885226078210">https://twitter.com/kelleykph...
Another graph, this is from the infection side. Infections were declining long before a stay at home order. The voluntary distancing slowed the spread, not the mandatory order. https://twitter.com/RichLeMond/status/1272707676548415488">https://twitter.com/RichLeMon...
@RebbeTakes has been saying that COVID-19 is an opportunistic disease. It& #39;s the nursing homes and hospitals that are a major issue of spreading the virus https://twitter.com/ElonBachman/status/1272566648420077568">https://twitter.com/ElonBachm...
The whole "even if you are asymptomatic you can spread it" was nonsense fear mongering https://twitter.com/CNBC/status/1270063282569781250">https://twitter.com/CNBC/stat...
https://twitter.com/ericMstrauss/status/1266136090806755329">https://twitter.com/ericMstra...
Please also follow @boriquagato for some solid graphs
More evidence of infection rate declining BEFORE mandatory lockdowns https://twitter.com/boriquagato/status/1271121153696821248?s=20">https://twitter.com/boriquaga...
More evidence of infection rate declining BEFORE mandatory lockdowns https://twitter.com/boriquagato/status/1271121153696821248?s=20">https://twitter.com/boriquaga...
The severity of the lockdown imposed by a country had no effect on the infection rate https://twitter.com/boriquagato/status/1271078084804927489?s=20">https://twitter.com/boriquaga...
Let& #39;s not forget how the protests revealed just how ridiculous the lockdown orders are
The next 2 weeks should reveal just how infectious the virus really is after the mass protests
This is NYC and DC data
This is NYC and DC data
https://twitter.com/gummibear737/status/1272627235061747712">https://twitter.com/gummibear...
https://twitter.com/AlistairHaimes/status/1257677373048336389">https://twitter.com/AlistairH...
https://twitter.com/FatEmperor/status/1270687340298674176">https://twitter.com/FatEmpero...
https://twitter.com/MLevitt_NP2013/status/1269640779410137088">https://twitter.com/MLevitt_N...
https://twitter.com/FrankfurtZack/status/1268519768329457669">https://twitter.com/Frankfurt...
The case for herd immunity builds https://twitter.com/gummibear737/status/1275118332887392256">https://twitter.com/gummibear...
Turns out serology tests may be vastly undermeasuring immunity https://twitter.com/Coronavirusgoo1/status/1275340286454042624">https://twitter.com/Coronavir...
It& #39;s not the lockdown that affects the curve, it& #39;s the seasons https://twitter.com/FatEmperor/status/1275841060204396551?s=20">https://twitter.com/FatEmpero...
https://twitter.com/MLevitt_NP2013/status/1277131025257320450">https://twitter.com/MLevitt_N...
https://twitter.com/AlexBerenson/status/1277773122301804546?s=20">https://twitter.com/AlexBeren...
https://twitter.com/BallouxFrancois/status/1277885591376535553?s=20">https://twitter.com/BallouxFr...
https://twitter.com/yinonw/status/1277805383092822016?s=20">https://twitter.com/yinonw/st...
Instead of a lockdown, additional resources should have been allocated to LTC facilities #gid=435667374">https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1ETm51GayRjlnoaRVtUOWfkolEeAQZ-zPhXkCbVe4_ik/edit #gid=435667374">https://docs.google.com/spreadshe...
Honest questions about mask wearing https://twitter.com/MarkChangizi/status/1278298284642021379">https://twitter.com/MarkChang...
Curve has been flattened, but now states are closing down again because??? https://twitter.com/gummibear737/status/1278329456571138053?s=20">https://twitter.com/gummibear...
https://twitter.com/justin_hart/status/1279085129449615360?s=20">https://twitter.com/justin_ha...
https://www.ftportfolios.com/blogs/EconBlog/2020/7/2/covid-19-tracker">https://www.ftportfolios.com/blogs/Eco...
A good look at Sweden https://twitter.com/HaraldofW/status/1280383235604860928?s=20">https://twitter.com/HaraldofW...
95% ICU capacity is normal
https://www.woodlandsonline.com/npps/story.cfm?nppage=67046">https://www.woodlandsonline.com/npps/stor...
https://www.woodlandsonline.com/npps/story.cfm?nppage=67046">https://www.woodlandsonline.com/npps/stor...
Please follow @gummibear737 for more great analysis https://twitter.com/gummibear737/status/1280547634382606339?s=20">https://twitter.com/gummibear...
Lockdowns are political, not practical https://twitter.com/boriquagato/status/1280990976694083585?s=20">https://twitter.com/boriquaga...
Solid article putting current events in context https://off-guardian.org/2020/07/07/second-wave-not-even-close/">https://off-guardian.org/2020/07/0...
Great chart showing date of deaths. We reached peak back in mid-April and have been declining ever since. The bigger question is, why all of a sudden are 3500 deaths that occurred before 5/2 being reported now? https://twitter.com/kylamb8/status/1281778023935737858?s=20">https://twitter.com/kylamb8/s...
Hmm https://twitter.com/EthicalSkeptic/status/1279144058330460161">https://twitter.com/EthicalSk...
The epidemic status was about to be dropped too. HMM https://justthenews.com/politics-policy/coronavirus/covid-19-close-losing-its-epidemic-status-us-according-cdc">https://justthenews.com/politics-...
To get an accurate picture of covid, follow @boriquagato @ElonBachman @justin_hart @AlexBerenson @kylamb8 @Hold2LLC @EthicalSkeptic @MLevitt_NP2013 @gummibear737 @FatEmperor
TX Hospitalizations may have reached peak and are trending down https://twitter.com/Trinhnomics/status/1282486302105980930?s=20">https://twitter.com/Trinhnomi...
https://twitter.com/gummibear737/status/1283840177497088001?s=20">https://twitter.com/gummibear...
In AZ, it looks like hospitalized patients with covid like symptoms peaked end of June https://twitter.com/Hold2LLC/status/1284893316446814211?s=20">https://twitter.com/Hold2LLC/...
https://twitter.com/HaMeturgeman/status/1285033371492638728?s=20">https://twitter.com/HaMeturge...
https://twitter.com/FrankfurtZack/status/1282030657062002690?s=20">https://twitter.com/Frankfurt...
It took about 6 weeks from when half the country was opening up (beginning of May) for cases to begin rising (mid June)
The head of the Norwegian Institute of Public Health believes the virus could be contained without a lockdown https://twitter.com/boriquagato/status/1265369848982368257">https://twitter.com/boriquaga...
Iceland and transmission from children https://twitter.com/NahasNewman/status/1286000183910834176?s=20">https://twitter.com/NahasNewm...
Architect of the Swedish Covid-19 strategy shares his thoughts on lockdowns, masks, and IFR https://twitter.com/freddiesayers/status/1286297666570391552?s=20">https://twitter.com/freddiesa...
Seasonality and cases. The climate changes the curve https://twitter.com/kylamb8/status/1286546120563400704?s=20">https://twitter.com/kylamb8/s...
The pattern is remarkably consistent regardless of the level of government mandates. Roughly a month long surge followed by a peak. https://twitter.com/toad_spotted/status/1286718403714207745?s=20">https://twitter.com/toad_spot...
"COVID19 would have been unremarkable 60 years ago" https://twitter.com/gummibear737/status/1287056551245733888?s=20">https://twitter.com/gummibear...
Kudos to @Prof_JTaylor and @jhaskinscabrera for keeping an eye on Florida, where 21% of the population is >65. The national percentage is 16%. 43% of deaths from LTCF, a problem the world is struggling to handle https://twitter.com/Prof_JTaylor/status/1287487823445209089?s=20">https://twitter.com/Prof_JTay...
https://twitter.com/Hold2LLC/status/1289590765685858310?s=20">https://twitter.com/Hold2LLC/...
It& #39;ll happen just in time for November https://twitter.com/FatEmperor/status/1289505453529944065?s=20">https://twitter.com/FatEmpero...
Those who& #39;ve dug into the data understand the real picture. The implied IFR is trending around 0.3% https://twitter.com/youyanggu/status/1289284532584103939?s=20">https://twitter.com/youyanggu...
Professors and physicians I& #39;ve learned about from @FatEmperor
@MLevitt_NP2013
@wodarg
John Ioannidis
Beda Stadler
Knut Wittkowski
@MLevitt_NP2013
@wodarg
John Ioannidis
Beda Stadler
Knut Wittkowski
Covid-19, a summary https://twitter.com/ElonBachman/status/1290800671168634881?s=20">https://twitter.com/ElonBachm...
https://twitter.com/gummibear737/status/1291007011166081025?s=20">https://twitter.com/gummibear...
https://twitter.com/daniellevitt22/status/1290907832255045632?s=20">https://twitter.com/daniellev...
Latest implied IFR https://twitter.com/youyanggu/status/1291092324815114241">https://twitter.com/youyanggu...
A trip down memory lane. This is lockdown by date. Can you guess how a state did based on how early they locked down? California locked down the earliest. How are they doing now?
CFR could be approaching IFR, in Spain this is 0.15% https://twitter.com/ChGefaell/status/1291882932651601921?s=20">https://twitter.com/ChGefaell...
Virus is going to virus. You can rip the band-aid off quickly or destroy your economy ripping it off slowly https://twitter.com/KiryeNet/status/1292234126867611649?s=20">https://twitter.com/KiryeNet/...
https://twitter.com/daniellevitt22/status/1292499668652322816?s=20">https://twitter.com/daniellev...
Masks, like lockdowns, don& #39;t do anything https://twitter.com/yinonw/status/1292505497006874624?s=20">https://twitter.com/yinonw/st...
"T-cell immunity allows populations to reach herd immunity once only 10-20% are infected" https://twitter.com/JamesTodaroMD/status/1292873236716433416?s=20">https://twitter.com/JamesToda...
There are countless graphs like this showing how lockdown was implemented at the tail end of social mobility. People were already social distancing. Government mandates get credit for a trend that was happening before any policy was implemented https://twitter.com/youyanggu/status/1292898702538035200?s=20">https://twitter.com/youyanggu...
https://twitter.com/ianmSC/status/1293766186136559616?s=20">https://twitter.com/ianmSC/st...
The more this plays out, the more Sweden is right https://twitter.com/muhammadalien/status/1293957826373660672?s=20">https://twitter.com/muhammada...
The same pattern emerges regardless of the level of gov intervention https://twitter.com/yinonw/status/1295152579941249024?s=20">https://twitter.com/yinonw/st...
The IFR for working age is so low, you could seriously argue lockdown killed more people under 65 https://twitter.com/gummibear737/status/1294596078931775490">https://twitter.com/gummibear...
China officials could not find traces of virus in asymptomatic people
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-china-wuhan/no-new-covid-sufferers-300-asymptomatic-after-wuhan-wide-tests-idUSKBN23915R">https://www.reuters.com/article/u...
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-health-coronavirus-china-wuhan/no-new-covid-sufferers-300-asymptomatic-after-wuhan-wide-tests-idUSKBN23915R">https://www.reuters.com/article/u...
80% deaths 65 and older.
92% deaths 55 and older.
https://twitter.com/ryansha30/status/1296530123663974401?s=20">https://twitter.com/ryansha30...
92% deaths 55 and older.
https://twitter.com/ryansha30/status/1296530123663974401?s=20">https://twitter.com/ryansha30...
https://www.franklintempletonnordic.com/investor/article?contentPath=html/ftthinks/common/cio-views/on-my-mind-they-blinded-us-from-science.html">https://www.franklintempletonnordic.com/investor/...
https://twitter.com/abirballan/status/1298650912504807425?s=20">https://twitter.com/abirballa...
https://medium.com/@vernunftundrichtigkeit/coronavirus-why-everyone-was-wrong-fce6db5ba809">https://medium.com/@vernunft...
The data continues to show the virus burns out at much lower infection rates https://twitter.com/kylamb8/status/1299179337065918469?s=20">https://twitter.com/kylamb8/s...
https://twitter.com/justin_hart/status/1299416774765694982?s=20">https://twitter.com/justin_ha...
The curve suggests stay at home orders had little effect on changing the infection rate https://twitter.com/youyanggu/status/1298297208794763266">https://twitter.com/youyanggu...
The IFR is much lower than what is perceived https://twitter.com/VPrasadMDMPH/status/1300915247176323073">https://twitter.com/VPrasadMD...
Mask mandates have no effect https://twitter.com/glencoco4u/status/1297350001140654081?s=20">https://twitter.com/glencoco4...
Mask mandates have no effect https://twitter.com/tickerguy/status/1301174508280336392?s=20">https://twitter.com/tickerguy...
Hundreds of billions of damage and countless lives damaged over a bad flu https://twitter.com/FatEmperor/status/1277545754660388865?s=20">https://twitter.com/FatEmpero...
Mask mandates have no effect https://twitter.com/YossiGestetner/status/1297662352087830528">https://twitter.com/YossiGest...
Masks don& #39;t even have an effect on the surgical table https://twitter.com/ianmSC/status/1301926107415863296?s=20">https://twitter.com/ianmSC/st...
https://www.climatedepot.com/2020/08/13/shock-research-shows-masks-ineffective-during-surgeries-a-lack-of-substantial-evidence-to-support-claims-that-facemasks-protect-either-patient-or-surgeon-from-infectious-contamination/">https://www.climatedepot.com/2020/08/1...
https://twitter.com/kylamb8/status/1302333136710389762?s=20">https://twitter.com/kylamb8/s...
https://twitter.com/ianmSC/status/1302369554589335552?s=20">https://twitter.com/ianmSC/st...
Great thread on lockdowns, masks, and reopening in Florida https://twitter.com/jhaskinscabrera/status/1302383570061754369?s=20">https://twitter.com/jhaskinsc...