On 15th May, 2020 the Punjab health department sent a report to the CM Punjab, in which they said their smart analysis predicted 670,000 cases in Lahore.
That was on 5/15/20.
That was on 5/15/20.
Since lockdown has not been in place and people interacted freely during Ramadan, it is reasonable to use an average epidemiologic rate of doubling: 6 days.
Which means we were at 2680,000 (26.8 lac) infected patients in Lahore by 5/28/20.
Which means we will have 5360,000 (53.6 lac) infected patients in Lahore in 2 days (June 3rd).
That is nearly 54 lac in Lahore only.
Which means we will have 5360,000 (53.6 lac) infected patients in Lahore in 2 days (June 3rd).
That is nearly 54 lac in Lahore only.
Now assume mortality rate of around 2%.
That is 107,200 deaths in Lahore only.
People, we are in deep trouble. Please take this very very seriously.
That is 107,200 deaths in Lahore only.
People, we are in deep trouble. Please take this very very seriously.