1
This tweet of yesterday and the video embedded herein generated quite a bit of 'excitement' on my TL.
So I thought I'll just share some thoughts on the current snafu on the LAC here.
Still unstructured (as always!), but here goes .. https://twitter.com/CestMoiz/status/1266960437058383872
2
But before moving ahead, let me offer a disclaimer.
I don't intend to go into the specifics of the alignment of LAC between the two countries. Enough has been said on that already, by doomsday walas as well as as 'All Is Well' walas.
3
Instead, what I intend to talk about is my thoughts on the fairly regular 'interaction' between the two militaries on the LAC, one aspect of which is depicted in the video above.
Do watch it before reading ahead in this thread, if not watched already.
4
That there is a dispute, is undeniable.
But then, what exactly is this dispute that we keep hearing about?
Well, to put it simply - the two sides do not agree as to where the LAC lies in a few sectors - thus what is called 'Claim Lines', wherein both sides feel the other ..
5
.. side claims 'their' land.
THIS is the 'difference in perception' that the Raksha Mantri talked about some time ago.
With both sides keen to retain their claims, patrolling parties inevitably 'crossing over' into area claimed to be theirs by the opposing side.
6
Hence the occasional video / photograph of both sides engaged in shoving and jostling with the other. This is the 'normal' interaction between the IA and the PLA.
Sharing some photographs to put things in correct perspective before moving ahead with my observations.
7
Here is a video as well, for those interested.
Do watch it, atleast partially before moving ahead, since it has a bearing on what I intend writing further.
8
Did you notice something?
Did you see a difference from the way the Indian Army 'interacts' with the Packies across the LoC?
The LAC too is disputed.
But we don't see such 👇 videos over there, right? https://twitter.com/CestMoiz/status/1266553687578574848
9
Once again, refer back to the photos & the video of IA and PLA tweeted above.
Did you see that both sides are carrying their weapons?
Yet they choose NOT to use them and instead, keep them slung behind their backs?
BOTH sides follow this rule religiously.
Ever wondered why?
10
Could it be due to an understanding - formal/informal - of NOT escalating things beyond a certain point?
I'd say YES.
Both sides are content to raise banners to inform the other of transgression into their claimed areas, which might of course, overlap with other side's claim.
11
This, folks, is the 'routine' interaction on the LAC.
Why I use the word 'routine'?
Because visuals from Doklam days and this current video posted in the first tweet of this thread indicate when things are NOT normal, they usually don't even carry weapons!
12
Don't believe me?
Just watch the video in the first tweet of this thread and search for any weapon apart from sticks!
Or this video from Doklam days in which the only 'shooting' being done is from cameras. Once again, no rifles!
13
The thing is, despite all sorts of provocations at higher echelons, the interaction on the ground between both armies is diligently kept below a level that might cause grievous bodily harm to the other side.
Bottomline: NONE seek escalation beyond a point.
Period.
14
So what about all those reports of a buildup of 'tens of thousands of troops' behind the area of the current standoff?
Well, didn't we hear the same during Doklam days?
Talking about Doklam, that standoff lasted nearly 2.5 months. This one is less than a month old!
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