SPA, ITA, UK, DE, MAL & SWE curve study.
Same scale and right date.
We see how curves follow their up and down tendencies with common shape, no matter when lockdown is imposed, softened our never applied

Same natural process everywhere, making epidemic come & go with natural law

Same but, scaled to equal high and centered on peak

Twin curves for SPA&NL, despite the fact that 1 is the hardest lockdown and the other NO lockdown. The rest, brothers

All them follow Gompertz shape. The SWE local anomaly is due to VERY small number, a small cluster is enough

Known margin error:
The shape in the last two weeks had lower confidence, due to the method used. We guessed next day's deaths from existing tendencies.
From previous week's the error margin goes close to zero at week 5. At decline and peak time tendencies are error free.