Using touchdown rates based on starting field position from the last three seasons, Lamar Jackson's pass attempts should have yielded 21 TDs last season, or 15 fewer than he actually threw.

That would have put him just 14.9 fantasy points ahead of the QB2 on the season.

Conversely, Tom Brady should have thrown roughly 34 TDs using this method, compared to 24 actual scores.

That would have made him the QB6 on the year

Same method for RBs, using historical position-specific scoring rates for both rushes and targets from every starting field position, Derrick Henry had an expectation of about 8.5 total TDs but scored 18.

Scoring as expected would have dropped him from RB3 to RB8 in half-PPR

Leonard Fournette's touches should have yielded about 9.5 TDs but he only scored three times.

With six or seven more TDs would have jumped from the RB9 to RB7

Looking at rush attempts only, Henry scored about eight TDs over expectation while Joe Mixon scored roughly five below expectation.

Using RB targets only, Austin Ekeler scored about four times over expectation while Fournette scored 2.6 TDs below expectation.

For WRs, AJ Brown's targets from 2019 should result in just over three TDs, on average. He scored eight times.

On the flip side, Auden Tate had a scoring expectation of over five TDs but scored just once.

No TE scored more times over expectation than Mark Andrews. He found the end zone 10 times but the average number of scores for his targets is just under five.

Tyler Higbee had a TD expectation over six but scored only three times.

Most expected TDs for each position last year:

QB - Tom Brady (33.71)
RB - Christian McCaffrey (15.87)
WR - Michael Thomas (9.47)
TE - Travis Kelce (7.11)